TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091659
Played Sep 8Finished
Jakub Kosowski
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119711119111411
Krystian Kolodziej
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Kosowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Kosowski above · Krystian Kolodziej below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 1-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 85 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Jakub Kosowski at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kosowski 2–1 Krystian Kolodziej Krystian Kolodziej has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:47What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Kosowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosowski 1942 vs Kolodziej 1870
Kosowski
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosowski 40% vs Kolodziej 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosowski 40% vs Kolodziej 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosowski -1 · Kolodziej +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Kosowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosowski 1.33 / Kolodziej 3.25
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Kosowski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13091659
Kosowski1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 295 of 447
Up 2–0, closes it95% 138 of 146
Up 1–0, closes it85% 230 of 270
Kolodziej3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 73 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back20% 23 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKosowski2wins
AwayKolodziej1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKosowski leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosowski1Kolodziej2n = 3Kolodziej took 2 of 3
S2Kosowski2Kolodziej1n = 3Kosowski took 2 of 3
S3Kosowski3Kolodziej0n = 3Kosowski took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKosowskiKolodziejKosowski − KolodziejBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match39.033.7+5.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosowskiKolodziejBasisWin rate · lifetime744 / 1264 vs 1312 / 195058.9%67.3%744 / 1264 vs 1312 / 1950Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosowskiKosowski 1.33/Kolodziej 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.7%
Kosowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolodziej won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 15 · 15:30J. Kosowski—412111192K. Kolodziej—111469113
WJan 13 · 21:10J. Kosowski—41111113K. Kolodziej—119551
WJan 8 · 18:55J. Kosowski—1111113K. Kolodziej—9560
J. Kosowski10
WSep 8 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.361211113K. Wloczko3.0010980LSep 8 · 10:00T. Spanik2.201111113J. Kosowski1.619850WSep 8 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.6712611133A. Wiecek2.1010118111WSep 8 · 08:30J. Kosowski2.101211143M. Olejnik1.67105120LSep 8 · 06:55J. Kosowski1.739131191T. Spanik2.0011154113LSep 8 · 05:40J. Kosowski1.677121191A. Wiecek2.1011146113LSep 8 · 04:10J. Kosowski2.3881151182J. Folwarski1.53115119113LSep 8 · 03:00J. Kosowski2.3811611642P. David1.53711711113LSep 7 · 14:35P. David1.611111143J. Kosowski2.2097120WSep 7 · 12:05J. Folwarski1.5711811982J. Kosowski2.25911711113
K. Kolodziej10
WSep 8 · 10:25M. Olejnik1.50111111792K. Kolodziej2.50136811113LSep 8 · 09:00T. Spanik1.611113113K. Kolodziej2.2051180LSep 7 · 12:30S. Kolasa1.734111110113K. Kolodziej2.0011251282WSep 7 · 11:40P. David1.3061381162K. Kolodziej3.401111115113LSep 7 · 10:50K. Kolodziej3.259780J. Kosowski1.331111113LSep 7 · 09:40K. Kolodziej4.5011781192J. Folwarski1.17511117113LSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592WSep 4 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski2.63471291K. Kolodziej1.44111110113WSep 4 · 19:15K. Kolodziej1.361311113M. Rutkowski3.0011610WSep 4 · 17:40K. Kolodziej1.1451111113M. Kolek5.00113921
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