TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13092377
Played Sep 8Finished
Jakub Kosowski
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12106111181311––
Adrian Wiecek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:37 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Kosowski to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kosowski above · Adrian Wiecek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 82 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Jakub Kosowski at 57.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kosowski 71–70 Adrian Wiecek Adrian Wiecek has won 70 of their 141 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:37What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kosowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
71-70 in 141
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosowski 1956 vs Wiecek 1865
Kosowski
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosowski 20% vs Wiecek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosowski 50% vs Wiecek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosowski +1 · Wiecek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kosowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wiecek form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosowski 1.67 / Wiecek 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kosowski)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13092377
Kosowski1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 295 of 447
Up 2–0, closes it95% 138 of 146
Up 1–0, closes it85% 230 of 270
Wiecek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 88 of 217
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosowski4wins
AwayWiecek6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWiecek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosowski100%4 of 4
AwayWiecek100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosowski4Wiecek6n = 10Wiecek took 6 of 10
S2Kosowski4Wiecek6n = 10Wiecek took 6 of 10
S3Kosowski5Wiecek5n = 10split evenly
S4Kosowski1Wiecek7n = 8Wiecek took 7 of 8
S5Kosowski3Wiecek0n = 3Kosowski took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosowskiWiecekK − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.642.4−1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosowskiWiecekBasisWin rate · lifetime745 / 1263 vs 776 / 140759%55.2%745 / 1263 vs 776 / 1407Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.640.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosowskiKosowski 1.67/Wiecek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Kosowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kosowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 05:40J. Kosowski—7121191A. Wiecek—11146113
LAug 25 · 13:45J. Kosowski—109100A. Wiecek—1211123
LAug 25 · 08:30J. Kosowski—814791A. Wiecek—111211113
WAug 24 · 14:35J. Kosowski—1113711123A. Wiecek—815114102
WAug 24 · 06:30J. Kosowski—1113113A. Wiecek—81180
WAug 18 · 11:15J. Kosowski—1111108113A. Wiecek—99121172
LAug 18 · 04:10J. Kosowski—811781A. Wiecek—11911113
LJul 21 · 10:00J. Kosowski—681161A. Wiecek—11115113
WJul 21 · 05:40J. Kosowski—158138113A. Wiecek—1311111192
LJul 7 · 11:15J. Kosowski—1471181A. Wiecek—16116113
J. Kosowski10
LSep 8 · 10:00T. Spanik2.201111113J. Kosowski1.619850WSep 8 · 08:30J. Kosowski2.101211143M. Olejnik1.67105120LSep 8 · 06:55J. Kosowski1.739131191T. Spanik2.0011154113LSep 8 · 05:40J. Kosowski1.677121191A. Wiecek2.1011146113LSep 8 · 04:10J. Kosowski2.3881151182J. Folwarski1.53115119113LSep 8 · 03:00J. Kosowski2.3811611642P. David1.53711711113LSep 7 · 14:35P. David1.611111143J. Kosowski2.2097120WSep 7 · 12:05J. Folwarski1.5711811982J. Kosowski2.25911711113WSep 7 · 10:50K. Kolodziej3.259780J. Kosowski1.331111113WSep 7 · 09:20S. Kolasa2.1011760J. Kosowski1.671311113
A. Wiecek10
LSep 8 · 08:05A. Wiecek2.508121161P. David1.5011146113LSep 8 · 06:30J. Folwarski1.448111110123A. Wiecek2.63118912102WSep 8 · 05:40J. Kosowski1.677121191A. Wiecek2.1011146113LSep 8 · 04:55A. Wiecek2.109580M. Olejnik1.671111113LSep 8 · 03:45A. Wiecek2.00181174102T. Spanik1.731691111123LSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113WSep 4 · 13:45A. Wiecek1.4411119113D. Michna2.63891191WSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172WSep 4 · 11:15A. Grela1.838680A. Wiecek1.831111113LSep 4 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.331171121K. Kolodziej3.2513119113
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