TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087228
Played Sep 7Finished
Jakub Folwarski
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119811117911811
Jakub Kosowski
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:59 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeJakub Folwarski to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Folwarski above · Jakub Kosowski below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 96 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jakub Folwarski at 62.1%
96 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Folwarski 9–7 Jakub Kosowski Jakub Kosowski has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:59What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Folwarski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Folwarski
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Folwarski 2186 vs Kosowski 1970
Folwarski
Wrong
both rated, 215 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Folwarski 80% vs Kosowski 100%
Kosowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Folwarski 80% vs Kosowski 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Folwarski +2 · Kosowski +5
Kosowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Folwarski) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosowski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFolwarski 1.57 / Kosowski 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Folwarski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13087228
Folwarski1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite76% won 174 of 228
Up 2–0, closes it99% 73 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it89% 104 of 117
Kosowski2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 42 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back23% 12 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFolwarski5wins
AwayKosowski5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFolwarski66.7%2 of 3
AwayKosowski57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Folwarski3Kosowski7n = 10Kosowski took 7 of 10
S2Folwarski6Kosowski4n = 10Folwarski took 6 of 10
S3Folwarski6Kosowski4n = 10Folwarski took 6 of 10
S4Folwarski4Kosowski2n = 6Folwarski took 4 of 6
S5Folwarski2Kosowski3n = 5Kosowski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFolwarskiKosowskiF − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.036.8+3.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFolwarskiKosowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime294 / 395 vs 746 / 126174.4%59.2%294 / 395 vs 746 / 1261Avg sets wonper match2.52.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FolwarskiFolwarski 1.57/Kosowski 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Folwarski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kosowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 3 · 10:25J. Folwarski—811511102J. Kosowski—115117123
WJun 3 · 13:40J. Folwarski—1111113J. Kosowski—1940
LJun 3 · 09:35J. Folwarski—91180J. Kosowski—1113113
WApr 22 · 10:25J. Folwarski—1111123J. Kosowski—69100
LApr 4 · 05:05J. Folwarski—471111122J. Kosowski—111197143
WApr 3 · 14:50J. Folwarski—1014911113J. Kosowski—121211472
LApr 3 · 08:35J. Folwarski—11611992J. Kosowski—711511113
WMar 18 · 14:15J. Folwarski—611124113J. Kosowski—116101132
WMar 18 · 08:15J. Folwarski—91111113J. Kosowski—118471
LDec 23 · 07:15J. Folwarski—99100J. Kosowski—1111123
J. Folwarski10
WSep 7 · 12:55P. David2.201297101J. Folwarski1.61101111123WSep 7 · 09:40K. Kolodziej4.5011781192J. Folwarski1.17511117113WAug 13 · 13:45J. Folwarski1.201111113K. Kolodziej4.338790LAug 13 · 12:30J. Folwarski1.3313711862M. Benes3.251111211113WAug 13 · 11:15J. Folwarski1.6171111113G. Felkel2.20118791WAug 13 · 10:00A. Abbasi2.637870J. Folwarski1.441111113WAug 13 · 09:20J. Folwarski1.301111113J. Braun3.405540WAug 13 · 08:40J. Folwarski1.141211113A. Daniel5.0010730WAug 13 · 07:15J. Folwarski1.441014119123M. Jadczyk2.631212711102LAug 13 · 06:10J. Folwarski1.449181131A. Abbasi2.6311205113
J. Kosowski10
WSep 7 · 10:50K. Kolodziej3.259780J. Kosowski1.331111113WSep 7 · 09:20S. Kolasa2.1011760J. Kosowski1.671311113WSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871WSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113WSep 7 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.281211133G. Poliniewicz3.50107110LSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133LSep 1 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.368680K. Kolodziej3.001111113WSep 1 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.2013714113K. Glazowski4.3311111291LSep 1 · 10:00P. Cyrnek1.8371111113J. Kosowski1.83116571
Upcoming Matches
J. Folwarski
J. Kosowski
Sep 7 · 14:35J. Kosowski2.20P. David1.61—Sep 8 · 03:00J. Kosowski2.20P. David1.61—Sep 8 · 04:10J. Kosowski2.38J. Folwarski1.53—Sep 8 · 05:40J. Kosowski1.67A. Wiecek2.10—Sep 8 · 06:55J. Kosowski1.73T. Spanik2.00—Sep 8 · 08:30J. Kosowski2.10M. Olejnik1.67—Sep 8 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.67A. Wiecek2.10—Sep 8 · 10:00J. Kosowski1.73T. Spanik2.00—Sep 8 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.33K. Kolodziej3.25—Sep 8 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.36K. Wloczko3.00—
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