TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091660
Played Sep 8Finished
Martin Olejnik
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1113116118711911
Krystian Kolodziej
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:47 and never touched — 70.0% is still 70.0%
Graded at full timeKrystian Kolodziej to win
70.0%
70.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Olejnik above · Krystian Kolodziej below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 98 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Krystian Kolodziej at 70.0%
98 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:47What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Olejnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Olejnik 1820 vs Kolodziej 1860
Kolodziej
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Olejnik 40% vs Kolodziej 20%
Olejnik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Olejnik 30% vs Kolodziej 50%
Kolodziej
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Olejnik -3 · Kolodziej -2
Olejnik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Olejnik) · live re-read · sealed at 30% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolodziej form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOlejnik 1.50 / Kolodziej 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Olejnik)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13091660
Olejnik1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 195 of 323
Up 2–0, closes it95% 103 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it85% 145 of 170
Kolodziej2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 73 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back20% 23 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOlejnikKolodziejBasisWin rate · lifetime454 / 826 vs 1311 / 194955%67.3%454 / 826 vs 1311 / 1949Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OlejnikOlejnik 1.50/Kolodziej 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Olejnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolodziej won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Olejnik10
LSep 8 · 12:05M. Olejnik1.8346111192A. Wiecek1.83111186113LSep 8 · 09:40K. Wloczko2.3871112113M. Olejnik1.531141081LSep 8 · 08:30J. Kosowski2.101211143M. Olejnik1.67105120LSep 8 · 07:20M. Olejnik2.008101181P. David1.7311125113WSep 8 · 06:05T. Spanik1.9181111782M. Olejnik1.80117911113WSep 8 · 04:55A. Wiecek2.109580M. Olejnik1.671111113LSep 8 · 03:25J. Folwarski1.25611911113M. Olejnik3.7511511892LSep 2 · 14:10M. Olejnik1.535890K. Wloczko2.381111113LSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961LSep 2 · 11:40P. David1.7371111113M. Olejnik2.00113641
K. Kolodziej10
WSep 8 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.3311711142K. Kolodziej3.25911911113LSep 8 · 09:00T. Spanik1.611113113K. Kolodziej2.2051180LSep 7 · 12:30S. Kolasa1.734111110113K. Kolodziej2.0011251282WSep 7 · 11:40P. David1.3061381162K. Kolodziej3.401111115113LSep 7 · 10:50K. Kolodziej3.259780J. Kosowski1.331111113LSep 7 · 09:40K. Kolodziej4.5011781192J. Folwarski1.17511117113LSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592WSep 4 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski2.63471291K. Kolodziej1.44111110113WSep 4 · 19:15K. Kolodziej1.361311113M. Rutkowski3.0011610WSep 4 · 17:40K. Kolodziej1.1451111113M. Kolek5.00113921
Upcoming Matches
M. Olejnik
K. Kolodziej
Sep 8 · 13:20K. Kolodziej3.00A. Wiecek1.36—Sep 8 · 14:10K. Kolodziej1.91K. Wloczko1.80—Sep 9 · 09:40K. Kolodziej2.75M. Jadczyk1.40—Sep 9 · 10:50K. Kolodziej2.50A. Grela1.50—Sep 9 · 11:40K. Kolodziej1.83D. Michna1.83—Sep 9 · 12:30K. Kolodziej3.25A. Wiecek1.33—Sep 9 · 14:10K. Kolodziej2.25G. Felkel1.57—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.