TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13092352
Played Sep 8Finished
Krzysztof Wloczko
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111141210118––
Martin Olejnik
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:28 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeMartin Olejnik to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrzysztof Wloczko above · Martin Olejnik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 74 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Martin Olejnik at 60.8%
74 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Wloczko 14–13 Martin Olejnik Martin Olejnik has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:28What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Olejnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-13 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloczko 1870 vs Olejnik 1830
Wloczko
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloczko 60% vs Olejnik 40%
Wloczko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloczko 60% vs Olejnik 30%
Wloczko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloczko -1 · Olejnik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Olejnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Olejnik form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloczko 2.38 / Olejnik 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Olejnik)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13092352
Wloczko2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 155 of 391
Down 0–1, comes back18% 37 of 211
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 128
Olejnik1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 195 of 323
Up 2–0, closes it95% 103 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it85% 145 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloczko5wins
AwayOlejnik5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloczko50%4 of 8
AwayOlejnikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloczko8Olejnik2n = 10Wloczko took 8 of 10
S2Wloczko6Olejnik4n = 10Wloczko took 6 of 10
S3Wloczko4Olejnik6n = 10Olejnik took 6 of 10
S4Wloczko2Olejnik4n = 6Olejnik took 4 of 6
S5Wloczko1Olejnik2n = 3Olejnik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloczkoOlejnikW − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.135.4+2.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloczkoOlejnikBasisWin rate · lifetime941 / 1800 vs 454 / 82552.3%55%941 / 1800 vs 454 / 825Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OlejnikWloczko 2.38/Olejnik 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Olejnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wloczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 14:10K. Wloczko—1111113M. Olejnik—5890
WSep 2 · 07:20K. Wloczko—1112113M. Olejnik—81080
LAug 28 · 10:00K. Wloczko—118971M. Olejnik—41111113
LAug 21 · 15:45K. Wloczko—1116981M. Olejnik—91811113
WAug 21 · 06:30K. Wloczko—1111113M. Olejnik—4730
WAug 11 · 09:40K. Wloczko—11119113M. Olejnik—361181
LAug 7 · 10:00K. Wloczko—11139662M. Olejnik—5111111113
WAug 7 · 08:05K. Wloczko—10121111113M. Olejnik—12148872
LJul 31 · 08:05K. Wloczko—10450M. Olejnik—1211113
LJul 21 · 13:20K. Wloczko—11117662M. Olejnik—851111113
K. Wloczko10
LSep 7 · 14:15K. Wisniewski2.80111136113K. Wloczko1.3798111162WSep 7 · 13:25K. Glazowski2.406980K. Wloczko1.501111113WSep 7 · 11:20M. Sklensky2.327820K. Wloczko1.521111113LSep 7 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz3.1011911123K. Wloczko1.307116101WSep 7 · 09:00K. Strowski2.5091312101K. Wloczko1.44111510123WSep 4 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.411011116113K. Wisniewski2.6012781192WSep 4 · 12:35J. Zochniak4.955980K. Wloczko1.131111113LSep 4 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80711911113K. Wloczko1.9011911682WSep 4 · 10:55K. Wloczko1.951111113S. Dosz1.758960LSep 4 · 09:45K. Wloczko1.65811581G. Poliniewicz2.0511611113
M. Olejnik10
LSep 8 · 10:25M. Olejnik1.50111111792K. Kolodziej2.50136811113LSep 8 · 08:30J. Kosowski2.101211143M. Olejnik1.67105120LSep 8 · 07:20M. Olejnik2.008101181P. David1.7311125113WSep 8 · 06:05T. Spanik1.9181111782M. Olejnik1.80117911113WSep 8 · 04:55A. Wiecek2.109580M. Olejnik1.671111113LSep 8 · 03:25J. Folwarski1.25611911113M. Olejnik3.7511511892LSep 2 · 14:10M. Olejnik1.535890K. Wloczko2.381111113LSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961LSep 2 · 11:40P. David1.7371111113M. Olejnik2.00113641WSep 2 · 10:50M. Olejnik1.4441113113K. Kolodziej2.631161161
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