TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13092293
Played Sep 8Finished
Martin Olejnik
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111012115811––
Petr David
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:17 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Olejnik above · Petr David below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Petr David at 54.9%
76 points played in total.
H2H Martin Olejnik 31–34 Petr David Martin Olejnik has won 31 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:17What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
David
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-34 in 65
David
Correct
gap of 3 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Olejnik 1849 vs David 1974
David
Correct
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Olejnik 40% vs David 60%
David
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Olejnik 30% vs David 60%
David
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Olejnik +2 · David +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans David)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOlejnik 2.00 / David 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (David)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13092293
Olejnik2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 56 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back26% 17 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 32
David1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 238 of 353
Up 2–0, closes it97% 122 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it82% 180 of 219
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOlejnik3wins
AwayDavid7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDavid leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOlejnik40%2 of 5
AwayDavid80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Olejnik5David5n = 10split evenly
S2Olejnik3David7n = 10David took 7 of 10
S3Olejnik5David5n = 10split evenly
S4Olejnik2David6n = 8David took 6 of 8
S5Olejnik2David2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOlejnikDavidO − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.041.9−2.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOlejnikDavidBasisWin rate · lifetime454 / 824 vs 652 / 99255.1%65.7%454 / 824 vs 652 / 992Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidOlejnik 2.00/David 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
David won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 07:20M. Olejnik—8101181P. David—11125113
LSep 2 · 11:40M. Olejnik—113641P. David—71111113
LSep 2 · 03:25M. Olejnik—713791P. David—111111113
WAug 28 · 11:15M. Olejnik—813811113P. David—111111792
LAug 28 · 05:40M. Olejnik—981171P. David—11114113
LAug 4 · 09:00M. Olejnik—115101192P. David—911129113
WAug 4 · 06:30M. Olejnik—1161112113P. David—61151492
WJul 1 · 10:00M. Olejnik—1111133P. David—88110
LJul 1 · 05:40M. Olejnik—79100P. David—1111123
LJun 12 · 14:50M. Olejnik—118121082P. David—8111012113
M. Olejnik10
WSep 8 · 06:05T. Spanik1.9181111782M. Olejnik1.80117911113WSep 8 · 04:55A. Wiecek2.109580M. Olejnik1.671111113LSep 8 · 03:25J. Folwarski1.25611911113M. Olejnik3.7511511892LSep 2 · 14:10M. Olejnik1.535890K. Wloczko2.381111113LSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961LSep 2 · 11:40P. David1.7371111113M. Olejnik2.00113641WSep 2 · 10:50M. Olejnik1.4441113113K. Kolodziej2.631161161LSep 2 · 09:40M. Olejnik1.7310490M. Jadczyk2.001211113LSep 2 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.8311211113M. Olejnik1.83211671LSep 2 · 07:20M. Olejnik1.6781080K. Wloczko2.101112113
P. David10
WSep 8 · 08:05A. Wiecek2.508121161P. David1.5011146113WSep 8 · 05:15J. Folwarski1.61111197102P. David2.20651111123LSep 8 · 04:30T. Spanik2.751111610113P. David1.4047111262WSep 8 · 03:00J. Kosowski2.3811611642P. David1.53711711113WSep 7 · 14:35P. David1.611111143J. Kosowski2.2097120LSep 7 · 12:55P. David2.201297101J. Folwarski1.61101111123LSep 7 · 11:40P. David1.3061381162K. Kolodziej3.401111115113WSep 7 · 10:00P. David1.73141711113S. Kolasa2.001219361LSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 2 · 11:40P. David1.7371111113M. Olejnik2.00113641
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