TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058184
Played Sep 2Finished
Martin Olejnik
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
4111161311116––
Krystian Kolodziej
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Olejnik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Olejnik above · Krystian Kolodziej below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Martin Olejnik at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:44What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Olejnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Olejnik 1892 vs Kolodziej 1843
Olejnik
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Olejnik 20% vs Kolodziej 40%
Kolodziej
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Olejnik 40% vs Kolodziej 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Olejnik -4 · Kolodziej -1
Olejnik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Olejnik) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Olejnik form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOlejnik 1.44 / Kolodziej 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Olejnik)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13058184
Olejnik1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 199 of 326
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it86% 148 of 173
Kolodziej2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 67 of 190
Down 0–1, comes back21% 23 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOlejnikKolodziejBasisWin rate · lifetime459 / 830 vs 1324 / 196355.3%67.5%459 / 830 vs 1324 / 1963Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OlejnikOlejnik 1.44/Kolodziej 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Olejnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Olejnik won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Olejnik10
LSep 2 · 14:10M. Olejnik1.535890K. Wloczko2.381111113LSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961LSep 2 · 11:40P. David1.7371111113M. Olejnik2.00113641LSep 2 · 09:40M. Olejnik1.7310490M. Jadczyk2.001211113LSep 2 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.8311211113M. Olejnik1.83211671LSep 2 · 07:20M. Olejnik1.6781080K. Wloczko2.101112113LSep 2 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.80111110113M. Olejnik1.91571291WSep 2 · 04:55D. Prokopcov3.75121111192M. Olejnik1.25141184113LSep 2 · 03:25P. David1.61111111113M. Olejnik2.20713791LAug 28 · 15:45M. Olejnik1.91711111182A. Dosz1.80111351113
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592WSep 4 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski2.63471291K. Kolodziej1.44111110113WSep 4 · 19:15K. Kolodziej1.361311113M. Rutkowski3.0011610WSep 4 · 17:40K. Kolodziej1.1451111113M. Kolek5.00113921WSep 4 · 16:55T. Filbrandt2.63116110K. Kolodziej1.441311133WSep 4 · 15:45A. Grela1.61116100K. Kolodziej2.201311123WSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752WSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113LSep 4 · 12:05D. Michna1.671111113K. Kolodziej2.109480WSep 4 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.331171121K. Kolodziej3.2513119113
Upcoming Matches
M. Olejnik
Nothing scheduled
K. Kolodziej1 of 5 neutral
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