TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058832
Played Sep 2Finished
Martin Olejnik
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012411911––––
Marcin Jadczyk
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarcin Jadczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingMartin Olejnik above · Marcin Jadczyk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 57 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Marcin Jadczyk at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Martin Olejnik 33–28 Marcin Jadczyk Marcin Jadczyk has won 28 of their 61 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:33What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Olejnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-28 in 61
Olejnik
Wrong
gap of 5 in 61, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Olejnik 1906 vs Jadczyk 1910
Jadczyk
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Olejnik 20% vs Jadczyk 60%
Jadczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Olejnik 50% vs Jadczyk 70%
Jadczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Olejnik -3 · Jadczyk -1
Olejnik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Olejnik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Olejnik form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOlejnik 1.73 / Jadczyk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Olejnik)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13058832
Olejnik1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 199 of 326
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it86% 148 of 173
Jadczyk2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 145 of 317
Down 0–1, comes back28% 42 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOlejnik4wins
AwayJadczyk6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJadczyk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOlejnikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayJadczyk75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Olejnik2Jadczyk8n = 10Jadczyk took 8 of 10
S2Olejnik4Jadczyk6n = 10Jadczyk took 6 of 10
S3Olejnik5Jadczyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Olejnik0Jadczyk7n = 7Jadczyk took 7 of 7
S5Olejnik4Jadczyk0n = 4Olejnik took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricOlejnikJadczykO − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.141.5−5.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOlejnikJadczykBasisWin rate · lifetime460 / 830 vs 973 / 166055.4%58.6%460 / 830 vs 973 / 1660Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadczykOlejnik 1.73/Jadczyk 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Olejnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jadczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 06:05M. Olejnik—571291M. Jadczyk—111110113
WAug 28 · 14:10M. Olejnik—10111112113M. Jadczyk—12891492
WAug 28 · 03:45M. Olejnik—3111110123M. Jadczyk—117512102
LAug 25 · 03:45M. Olejnik—1491191M. Jadczyk—16118113
WAug 21 · 03:45M. Olejnik—117148113M. Jadczyk—911121192
WAug 14 · 15:00M. Olejnik—111194113M. Jadczyk—63111142
LAug 14 · 06:05M. Olejnik—9360M. Jadczyk—1111113
LAug 11 · 06:05M. Olejnik—2630M. Jadczyk—1111113
LAug 7 · 14:10M. Olejnik—45110M. Jadczyk—1111133
LAug 7 · 03:45M. Olejnik—8117111M. Jadczyk—11611133
M. Olejnik10
LSep 2 · 14:10M. Olejnik1.535890K. Wloczko2.381111113LSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961LSep 2 · 11:40P. David1.7371111113M. Olejnik2.00113641WSep 2 · 10:50M. Olejnik1.4441113113K. Kolodziej2.631161161LSep 2 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.8311211113M. Olejnik1.83211671LSep 2 · 07:20M. Olejnik1.6781080K. Wloczko2.101112113LSep 2 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.80111110113M. Olejnik1.91571291WSep 2 · 04:55D. Prokopcov3.75121111192M. Olejnik1.25141184113LSep 2 · 03:25P. David1.61111111113M. Olejnik2.20713791LAug 28 · 15:45M. Olejnik1.91711111182A. Dosz1.80111351113
M. Jadczyk10
LSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871LSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591WSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282WSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113LSep 4 · 14:10A. Grela2.10129147113M. Jadczyk1.671011121182LSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113WSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111WSep 4 · 10:50D. Michna1.836880M. Jadczyk1.831111113WSep 2 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.80111110113M. Olejnik1.91571291
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