TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091665
Played Sep 8Finished
Jakub Folwarski
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611115911118119
Martin Olejnik
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:47 and never touched — 82.5% is still 82.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Folwarski to win
82.5%
82.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Folwarski above · Martin Olejnik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 92 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Folwarski at 82.5%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Folwarski 18–0 Martin Olejnik Martin Olejnik has won 0 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:47What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Folwarski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-0 in 18
Folwarski
Correct
gap of 18 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Folwarski 2157 vs Olejnik 1832
Folwarski
Correct
both rated, 324 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Folwarski 80% vs Olejnik 20%
Folwarski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Folwarski 80% vs Olejnik 20%
Folwarski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Folwarski +2 · Olejnik -3
Olejnik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Folwarski) · live re-read · sealed at 83% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFolwarski 1.25 / Olejnik 3.75
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Folwarski)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13091665
Folwarski1.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite76% won 174 of 228
Up 2–0, closes it99% 73 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it89% 104 of 117
Olejnik3.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 56 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back25% 17 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFolwarski10wins
AwayOlejnik0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderFolwarski leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFolwarski100%6 of 6
AwayOlejnik0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Folwarski6Olejnik4n = 10Folwarski took 6 of 10
S2Folwarski7Olejnik3n = 10Folwarski took 7 of 10
S3Folwarski9Olejnik1n = 10Folwarski took 9 of 10
S4Folwarski7Olejnik1n = 8Folwarski took 7 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home770%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFolwarskiOlejnikF − OBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.231.0+10.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFolwarskiOlejnikBasisWin rate · lifetime296 / 398 vs 457 / 83074.4%55.1%296 / 398 vs 457 / 830Avg sets wonper match2.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FolwarskiFolwarski 1.25/Olejnik 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.3%
Folwarski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Folwarski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 7 · 12:55J. Folwarski—1112113M. Olejnik—51080
WJul 10 · 15:45J. Folwarski—1111123M. Olejnik—28100
WJul 3 · 15:45J. Folwarski—131011113M. Olejnik—1112771
WMay 29 · 12:00J. Folwarski—11611113M. Olejnik—311991
WMay 15 · 12:00J. Folwarski—81111113M. Olejnik—117591
WMay 8 · 10:45J. Folwarski—81111113M. Olejnik—118561
WApr 4 · 04:20J. Folwarski—91111113M. Olejnik—114431
WJan 31 · 14:15J. Folwarski—12811113M. Olejnik—1011871
WJan 31 · 06:50J. Folwarski—711119113M. Olejnik—11631152
WOct 10 · 12:50J. Folwarski—14118123M. Olejnik—12911101
J. Folwarski10
WSep 8 · 04:10J. Kosowski2.3881151182J. Folwarski1.53115119113WSep 7 · 13:45S. Kolasa3.251638101J. Folwarski1.33141111123WSep 7 · 12:55P. David2.201297101J. Folwarski1.61101111123LSep 7 · 12:05J. Folwarski1.5711811982J. Kosowski2.25911711113WSep 7 · 09:40K. Kolodziej4.5011781192J. Folwarski1.17511117113WAug 13 · 13:45J. Folwarski1.201111113K. Kolodziej4.338790LAug 13 · 12:30J. Folwarski1.3313711862M. Benes3.251111211113WAug 13 · 11:15J. Folwarski1.6171111113G. Felkel2.20118791WAug 13 · 10:00A. Abbasi2.637870J. Folwarski1.441111113WAug 13 · 09:20J. Folwarski1.301111113J. Braun3.405540
M. Olejnik10
WSep 8 · 04:55A. Wiecek2.109580M. Olejnik1.671111113LSep 2 · 14:10M. Olejnik1.535890K. Wloczko2.381111113LSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961LSep 2 · 11:40P. David1.7371111113M. Olejnik2.00113641WSep 2 · 10:50M. Olejnik1.4441113113K. Kolodziej2.631161161LSep 2 · 09:40M. Olejnik1.7310490M. Jadczyk2.001211113LSep 2 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.8311211113M. Olejnik1.83211671LSep 2 · 07:20M. Olejnik1.6781080K. Wloczko2.101112113LSep 2 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.80111110113M. Olejnik1.91571291WSep 2 · 04:55D. Prokopcov3.75121111192M. Olejnik1.25141184113
Upcoming Matches
J. Folwarski
M. Olejnik
Sep 8 · 06:05M. Olejnik1.80T. Spanik1.91—Sep 8 · 07:20M. Olejnik2.00P. David1.73—Sep 8 · 08:30M. Olejnik1.67J. Kosowski2.10—Sep 8 · 09:40M. Olejnik1.53K. Wloczko2.38—Sep 8 · 10:25M. Olejnik1.50K. Kolodziej2.50—Sep 8 · 12:05M. Olejnik1.67A. Wiecek2.10—Sep 8 · 12:55M. Olejnik1.80T. Spanik1.91—Sep 8 · 13:45M. Olejnik1.67J. Kosowski2.10—
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