TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090300
Played Sep 7Finished
Karol Strowski
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119117511117––
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Away
2.15
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Strowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
119117511117––
H2H Karol Strowski 23–23 Grzegorz Poliniewicz Dead even across their 46 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:36What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Strowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-23 in 46
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strowski 1817 vs Poliniewicz 1708
Strowski
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strowski 40% vs Poliniewicz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strowski 60% vs Poliniewicz 40%
Strowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strowski +2 · Poliniewicz +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Strowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrowski 1.60 / Poliniewicz 2.15
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Strowski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13090300
Strowski1.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 269 of 405
Up 2–0, closes it96% 98 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it84% 182 of 218
Poliniewicz2.15
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 142 of 376
Down 0–1, comes back22% 46 of 212
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 129
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrowski5wins
AwayPoliniewicz5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrowski66.7%4 of 6
AwayPoliniewicz75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strowski6Poliniewicz4n = 10Strowski took 6 of 10
S2Strowski9Poliniewicz1n = 10Strowski took 9 of 10
S3Strowski4Poliniewicz6n = 10Poliniewicz took 6 of 10
S4Strowski3Poliniewicz4n = 7Poliniewicz took 4 of 7
S5Strowski1Poliniewicz3n = 4Poliniewicz took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrowskiPoliniewiczS − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.338.7+1.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrowskiPoliniewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime818 / 1398 vs 1252 / 211458.5%59.2%818 / 1398 vs 1252 / 2114Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrowskiStrowski 1.60/Poliniewicz 2.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Strowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Strowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 09:20K. Strowski—11114113G. Poliniewicz—841161
LAug 14 · 14:15K. Strowski—71181162G. Poliniewicz—116118113
LAug 7 · 13:25K. Strowski—111181192G. Poliniewicz—136116113
WJun 16 · 11:45K. Strowski—1411133G. Poliniewicz—129110
WMay 25 · 13:10K. Strowski—6111410113G. Poliniewicz—115121282
LMay 18 · 09:30K. Strowski—91110101G. Poliniewicz—11812123
LMay 15 · 11:30K. Strowski—114881G. Poliniewicz—71111113
LMay 15 · 07:10K. Strowski—11117942G. Poliniewicz—841111113
WMay 14 · 14:45K. Strowski—1511113G. Poliniewicz—13890
WApr 28 · 10:20K. Strowski—1111113G. Poliniewicz—9890
K. Strowski10
WSep 7 · 19:40K. Strowski1.911251012113K. Glazowski1.801011121082LSep 7 · 18:30K. Strowski1.5781111662K. Kapik2.25118911113WSep 7 · 17:20K. Strowski1.221111811113K. Kostyk4.0049111332WSep 7 · 16:05K. Staszczyk3.50561131K. Strowski1.2811114113WSep 7 · 15:25K. Strowski1.6111111113M. Rutkowski2.20911341LSep 7 · 14:35K. Strowski1.7471161182K. Glazowski1.94115119113WSep 7 · 11:45K. Strowski1.471113123K. Wisniewski2.45911100WSep 7 · 10:05K. Strowski1.43119116123M. Sklensky2.60911511102LSep 7 · 09:00K. Strowski2.5091312101K. Wloczko1.44111510123LSep 1 · 19:40K. Strowski2.0091171152L. Jarocki1.73117119113
G. Poliniewicz10
LSep 8 · 13:50G. Poliniewicz2.0511611962M. Sklensky1.65911611113LSep 8 · 12:35G. Poliniewicz2.197611111J. Kuzmicz1.5511116133WSep 8 · 11:20G. Poliniewicz1.831111123K. Wisniewski1.8388100LSep 8 · 10:05K. Glazowski1.5711811113G. Poliniewicz2.16611991WSep 8 · 09:20G. Poliniewicz2.101151211113A. Daniel1.6041114842LSep 7 · 13:50M. Sklensky1.4411129113G. Poliniewicz2.507101151WSep 7 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2.1011138113K. Glazowski1.657111181WSep 7 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz3.1011911123K. Wloczko1.307116101LSep 7 · 09:45K. Wisniewski2.331111313123G. Poliniewicz1.51891115102LSep 7 · 08:30S. Kolasa1.4011115113G. Poliniewicz2.75381141
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