TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13053411
Played Sep 1Finished
Kacper Glazowski
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1198111614711116
Lukasz Jarocki
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKacper Glazowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKacper Glazowski above · Lukasz Jarocki below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 104 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Kacper Glazowski at 54.0%
104 points played in total.
H2H Kacper Glazowski 29–27 Lukasz Jarocki Lukasz Jarocki has won 27 of their 56 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:40What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Glazowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-27 in 56
Glazowski
Correct
gap of 2 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glazowski 1745 vs Jarocki 1707
Glazowski
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glazowski 20% vs Jarocki 40%
Jarocki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glazowski 30% vs Jarocki 50%
Jarocki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Glazowski -3 · Jarocki +1
Glazowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Glazowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Glazowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlazowski 1.73 / Jarocki 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Glazowski)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13053411
Glazowski1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 132 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it98% 61 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it83% 111 of 134
Jarocki2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 92 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back27% 27 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGlazowski5wins
AwayJarocki5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlazowski80%4 of 5
AwayJarocki80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glazowski5Jarocki5n = 10split evenly
S2Glazowski7Jarocki3n = 10Glazowski took 7 of 10
S3Glazowski4Jarocki6n = 10Jarocki took 6 of 10
S4Glazowski4Jarocki4n = 8split evenly
S5Glazowski3Jarocki3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGlazowskiJarockiG − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.241.3+0.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlazowskiJarockiBasisWin rate · lifetime499 / 1027 vs 844 / 150848.6%56%499 / 1027 vs 844 / 1508Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GlazowskiGlazowski 1.73/Jarocki 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Glazowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Glazowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 11 · 14:35K. Glazowski—711791L. Jarocki—11911113
LAug 10 · 17:40K. Glazowski—14791282L. Jarocki—12111110113
WAug 10 · 11:45K. Glazowski—1161011113L. Jarocki—61112852
LJul 28 · 09:00K. Glazowski—91491142L. Jarocki—1112116113
LJun 9 · 11:30K. Glazowski—91191182L. Jarocki—119119113
WJun 9 · 04:15K. Glazowski—1111610123L. Jarocki—381112102
WJun 8 · 13:35K. Glazowski—411129113L. Jarocki—117101152
WJun 8 · 06:35K. Glazowski—1111113L. Jarocki—6870
WMay 26 · 14:00K. Glazowski—1111113L. Jarocki—5970
LMay 26 · 08:45K. Glazowski—771161L. Jarocki—11119113
K. Glazowski10
LSep 1 · 20:05K. Glazowski2.20118881M. Sklensky1.6121111113WSep 1 · 18:30K. Strowski2.00781181K. Glazowski1.7311117113WSep 1 · 17:40A. Spychala2.209980K. Glazowski1.611111113WSep 1 · 16:55K. Glazowski1.441311118113M. Olbrycht2.6315891142LSep 1 · 14:10K. Kolodziej1.501111117113K. Glazowski2.5013391172LSep 1 · 13:20K. Strowski1.91111311183K. Glazowski1.8013119161LSep 1 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.2013714113K. Glazowski4.3311111291WSep 1 · 10:25K. Petas1.50101110111K. Glazowski2.5012412133LSep 1 · 09:00P. Cyrnek1.281111113K. Glazowski3.509960LAug 31 · 19:40K. Strowski1.8381111143K. Glazowski1.831198121
L. Jarocki10
WSep 1 · 19:40K. Strowski2.0091171152L. Jarocki1.73117119113WSep 1 · 18:50A. Spychala2.207680L. Jarocki1.611111113LSep 1 · 18:05L. Jarocki1.7361370M. Olbrycht2.001115113WSep 1 · 16:30L. Jarocki1.83881111113M. Sklensky1.8311115492WSep 1 · 14:35L. Jarocki1.911115118113D. Prokopcov1.8061761162WSep 1 · 13:00L. Jarocki1.551211113K. Wisniewski2.3010770LSep 1 · 11:45L. Jarocki1.90811981M. Sklensky1.8011511113LSep 1 · 10:05L. Jarocki1.808950A. Spychala1.851111113WSep 1 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.7071111113D. Kosmal2.00118961LAug 31 · 20:30M. Sklensky1.83114415133L. Jarocki1.8311121113112
Upcoming Matches
K. Glazowski1 of 4 neutral
L. Jarocki
Nothing scheduled
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