TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13053414
Played Sep 1Finished
Lukasz Jarocki
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911511––––
Adrian Spychala
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Spychala to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
811911511––––
H2H Lukasz Jarocki 51–46 Adrian Spychala Adrian Spychala has won 46 of their 97 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:41What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jarocki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-46 in 97
Jarocki
Wrong
gap of 5 in 97, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jarocki 1719 vs Spychala 1716
Jarocki
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jarocki 60% vs Spychala 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jarocki 50% vs Spychala 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jarocki +1 · Spychala -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jarocki) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJarocki 1.80 / Spychala 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jarocki)+3.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13053414
Jarocki1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 160 of 263
Up 2–0, closes it93% 92 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it78% 120 of 153
Spychala1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 132 of 441
Down 0–1, comes back13% 37 of 285
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 164
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJarocki6wins
AwaySpychala4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJarocki leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJarocki100%5 of 5
AwaySpychala80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jarocki5Spychala5n = 10split evenly
S2Jarocki5Spychala5n = 10split evenly
S3Jarocki5Spychala5n = 10split evenly
S4Jarocki4Spychala4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJarockiSpychalaJ − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.436.0+3.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJarockiSpychalaBasisWin rate · lifetime843 / 1505 vs 574 / 154756%37.1%843 / 1505 vs 574 / 1547Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JarockiJarocki 1.80/Spychala 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jarocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Spychala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 28 · 06:10L. Jarocki—111011113A. Spychala—812491
WMay 13 · 11:30L. Jarocki—117117113A. Spychala—61121192
LMay 13 · 04:15L. Jarocki—6119101A. Spychala—11811123
LMay 8 · 11:30L. Jarocki—811871A. Spychala—11811113
WMay 8 · 04:15L. Jarocki—1171111113A. Spychala—13114772
WMay 7 · 11:30L. Jarocki—11137113A. Spychala—8111141
LMay 7 · 07:10L. Jarocki—991351A. Spychala—111111113
WMay 6 · 14:00L. Jarocki—1111113A. Spychala—8630
LMay 6 · 08:50L. Jarocki—86100A. Spychala—1111123
WApr 20 · 15:10L. Jarocki—111115113A. Spychala—551771
L. Jarocki10
WSep 1 · 19:40K. Strowski2.0091171152L. Jarocki1.73117119113WSep 1 · 18:50A. Spychala2.207680L. Jarocki1.611111113LSep 1 · 18:05L. Jarocki1.7361370M. Olbrycht2.001115113WSep 1 · 16:30L. Jarocki1.83881111113M. Sklensky1.8311115492LSep 1 · 15:45K. Glazowski1.73118167113L. Jarocki2.00911141162WSep 1 · 14:35L. Jarocki1.911115118113D. Prokopcov1.8061761162WSep 1 · 13:00L. Jarocki1.551211113K. Wisniewski2.3010770LSep 1 · 11:45L. Jarocki1.90811981M. Sklensky1.8011511113WSep 1 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.7071111113D. Kosmal2.00118961LAug 31 · 20:30M. Sklensky1.83114415133L. Jarocki1.8311121113112
A. Spychala10
WSep 2 · 19:40A. Spychala1.801211113J. Witkowski1.9110790WSep 2 · 18:30A. Spychala1.73119411113M. Olbrycht2.0031111772LSep 2 · 17:20A. Spychala1.83117781K. Kapik1.8371111113WSep 2 · 16:05L. Pietraszko2.63101111652A. Spychala1.44129911113WSep 2 · 15:25A. Spychala1.91411145113J. Chmielowski1.80117121182WSep 2 · 14:35A. Spychala1.7011118113J. Witkowski1.95771171LSep 2 · 13:00A. Spychala1.80116612102M. Kolek1.858111110123WSep 2 · 11:45A. Spychala1.8371111113K. Wisniewski1.86118761LSep 2 · 10:05A. Spychala2.95481591J. Kuzmicz1.33111113113LSep 1 · 18:50A. Spychala2.207680L. Jarocki1.611111113
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