TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13053413
Played Sep 1Finished
Lukasz Jarocki
Home
1.55
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210117117––––
Karol Wisniewski
Away
2.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Wisniewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
1210117117––––
H2H Lukasz Jarocki 78–67 Karol Wisniewski Karol Wisniewski has won 67 of their 145 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:41What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (60%)
Jarocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
78-67 in 145
Jarocki
Correct
gap of 11 in 145, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jarocki 1694 vs Wisniewski 1657
Jarocki
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jarocki 40% vs Wisniewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jarocki 40% vs Wisniewski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jarocki -2 · Wisniewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Jarocki) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jarocki form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJarocki 1.55 / Wisniewski 2.30
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Jarocki)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13053413
Jarocki1.55
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 160 of 263
Up 2–0, closes it93% 92 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it78% 120 of 153
Wisniewski2.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 249 of 628
Down 0–1, comes back20% 76 of 387
Down 0–2, comes back4% 9 of 225
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJarocki3wins
AwayWisniewski7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWisniewski leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJarocki100%3 of 3
AwayWisniewski100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jarocki3Wisniewski7n = 10Wisniewski took 7 of 10
S2Jarocki2Wisniewski8n = 10Wisniewski took 8 of 10
S3Jarocki5Wisniewski5n = 10split evenly
S4Jarocki3Wisniewski2n = 5Jarocki took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricJarockiWisniewskiJ − WBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.637.7−3.1per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJarockiWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime843 / 1507 vs 1010 / 221655.9%45.6%843 / 1507 vs 1010 / 2216Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JarockiJarocki 1.55/Wisniewski 2.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Jarocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jarocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 12:35L. Jarocki—10101371K. Wisniewski—121211113
LJul 27 · 09:45L. Jarocki—12890K. Wisniewski—1411113
LJul 13 · 10:55L. Jarocki—411130K. Wisniewski—1113153
LJun 10 · 11:30L. Jarocki—11740K. Wisniewski—1311113
LJun 8 · 09:30L. Jarocki—166111162K. Wisniewski—181189113
LJun 8 · 05:45L. Jarocki—10940K. Wisniewski—1211113
WMay 28 · 11:30L. Jarocki—11411143K. Wisniewski—2116121
WMay 28 · 03:30L. Jarocki—1111113K. Wisniewski—9780
LMay 26 · 07:35L. Jarocki—1312691K. Wisniewski—151011113
WMay 14 · 10:40L. Jarocki—11811113K. Wisniewski—711641
L. Jarocki10
WSep 1 · 19:40K. Strowski2.0091171152L. Jarocki1.73117119113WSep 1 · 18:50A. Spychala2.207680L. Jarocki1.611111113LSep 1 · 18:05L. Jarocki1.7361370M. Olbrycht2.001115113WSep 1 · 16:30L. Jarocki1.83881111113M. Sklensky1.8311115492LSep 1 · 15:45K. Glazowski1.73118167113L. Jarocki2.00911141162WSep 1 · 14:35L. Jarocki1.911115118113D. Prokopcov1.8061761162LSep 1 · 11:45L. Jarocki1.90811981M. Sklensky1.8011511113LSep 1 · 10:05L. Jarocki1.808950A. Spychala1.851111113WSep 1 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.7071111113D. Kosmal2.00118961LAug 31 · 20:30M. Sklensky1.83114415133L. Jarocki1.8311121113112
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 7 · 08:30M. Sklensky1.3711118113K. Wisniewski2.80761171LSep 7 · 07:15K. Wisniewski1.6881191132D. Solilo2.05113115113LSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591LSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131WSep 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.95881141K. Wisniewski1.3311116113LSep 4 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.411011116113K. Wisniewski2.6012781192LSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100LSep 4 · 11:20J. Zochniak2.5511411113K. Wisniewski1.42611391WSep 4 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz1.60811991K. Wisniewski2.1011711113WSep 4 · 09:00A. Daniel1.42114711112K. Wisniewski2.60311119133
Upcoming Matches
L. Jarocki
Nothing scheduled
K. Wisniewski
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.