TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13053343
Played Sep 1Finished
Lukasz Jarocki
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811115911811––
Miroslav Sklensky
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukasz Jarocki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
811115911811––
H2H Lukasz Jarocki 40–45 Miroslav Sklensky Lukasz Jarocki has won 40 of their 85 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:12What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sklensky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-45 in 85
Sklensky
Correct
gap of 5 in 85, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jarocki 1705 vs Sklensky 1747
Sklensky
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jarocki 60% vs Sklensky 80%
Sklensky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jarocki 50% vs Sklensky 70%
Sklensky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jarocki -1 · Sklensky -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sklensky) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sklensky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJarocki 1.90 / Sklensky 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sklensky)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13053343
Jarocki1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 92 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back27% 27 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46
Sklensky1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 226 of 346
Up 2–0, closes it95% 122 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it82% 165 of 202
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJarocki5wins
AwaySklensky5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJarocki80%4 of 5
AwaySklensky80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jarocki5Sklensky5n = 10split evenly
S2Jarocki3Sklensky7n = 10Sklensky took 7 of 10
S3Jarocki6Sklensky4n = 10Jarocki took 6 of 10
S4Jarocki4Sklensky5n = 9Sklensky took 5 of 9
S5Jarocki2Sklensky1n = 3Jarocki took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJarockiSklenskyJ − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.842.3−1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJarockiSklenskyBasisWin rate · lifetime843 / 1506 vs 682 / 114556%59.6%843 / 1506 vs 682 / 1145Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SklenskyJarocki 1.90/Sklensky 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sklensky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sklensky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 09:45L. Jarocki—4125101M. Sklensky—111011123
WAug 11 · 17:20L. Jarocki—1161510133M. Sklensky—6111312112
WAug 11 · 11:45L. Jarocki—111111123M. Sklensky—7136101
LAug 10 · 18:50L. Jarocki—7550M. Sklensky—1111113
LAug 10 · 10:55L. Jarocki—1071281M. Sklensky—121110113
LJul 28 · 19:40L. Jarocki—119151392M. Sklensky—6111315113
WJul 28 · 14:35L. Jarocki—13119113M. Sklensky—1161171
WJul 27 · 16:05L. Jarocki—7111311113M. Sklensky—11715882
LJul 27 · 12:35L. Jarocki—781241M. Sklensky—111110113
WJul 13 · 17:40L. Jarocki—11511113M. Sklensky—611761
L. Jarocki10
WSep 1 · 19:40K. Strowski2.0091171152L. Jarocki1.73117119113WSep 1 · 18:50A. Spychala2.207680L. Jarocki1.611111113LSep 1 · 18:05L. Jarocki1.7361370M. Olbrycht2.001115113WSep 1 · 16:30L. Jarocki1.83881111113M. Sklensky1.8311115492LSep 1 · 15:45K. Glazowski1.73118167113L. Jarocki2.00911141162WSep 1 · 14:35L. Jarocki1.911115118113D. Prokopcov1.8061761162WSep 1 · 13:00L. Jarocki1.551211113K. Wisniewski2.3010770LSep 1 · 10:05L. Jarocki1.808950A. Spychala1.851111113WSep 1 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.7071111113D. Kosmal2.00118961LAug 31 · 20:30M. Sklensky1.83114415133L. Jarocki1.8311121113112
M. Sklensky10
WSep 7 · 08:30M. Sklensky1.3711118113K. Wisniewski2.80761171WSep 7 · 06:50M. Sklensky1.471112133A. Sobel2.45610110WSep 7 · 05:35M. Sklensky1.471111113M. Minda2.459480WSep 7 · 04:00M. Sklensky1.42111111113J. Zochniak2.60471351WSep 7 · 03:00M. Sklensky—1111613113D. Solilo—46111572WSep 1 · 20:05K. Glazowski2.20118881M. Sklensky1.6121111113WSep 1 · 19:15M. Olbrycht3.259570M. Sklensky1.331111113LSep 1 · 17:20K. Strowski1.611111113M. Sklensky2.208470LSep 1 · 16:30L. Jarocki1.83881111113M. Sklensky1.8311115492WAug 31 · 20:30M. Sklensky1.83114415133L. Jarocki1.8311121113112
Upcoming Matches
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M. Sklensky1 of 4 neutral
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