TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13092362
Played Sep 8Finished
Tibor Spanik
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13111186111210––
Krzysztof Wloczko
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTibor Spanik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTibor Spanik above · Krzysztof Wloczko below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 82 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Tibor Spanik at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Tibor Spanik 10–10 Krzysztof Wloczko Dead even across their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:27What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Spanik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-10 in 20
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Spanik 1899 vs Wloczko 1893
Spanik
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Spanik 60% vs Wloczko 80%
Wloczko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Spanik 70% vs Wloczko 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Spanik +2 · Wloczko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Spanik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloczko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSpanik 1.80 / Wloczko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Spanik)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13092362
Spanik1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 148 of 257
Up 2–0, closes it92% 71 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it76% 106 of 140
Wloczko1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 155 of 391
Down 0–1, comes back18% 37 of 211
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSpanik5wins
AwayWloczko5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSpanik71.4%5 of 7
AwayWloczko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Spanik7Wloczko3n = 10Spanik took 7 of 10
S2Spanik5Wloczko5n = 10split evenly
S3Spanik6Wloczko4n = 10Spanik took 6 of 10
S4Spanik1Wloczko4n = 5Wloczko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSpanikWloczkoS − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.034.1+0.9per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSpanikWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 411 vs 943 / 180256%52.3%230 / 411 vs 943 / 1802Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SpanikSpanik 1.80/Wloczko 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Spanik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Spanik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 11:15T. Spanik—1111113K. Wloczko—7540
WAug 31 · 03:00T. Spanik—1111113K. Wloczko—9950
LAug 7 · 12:30T. Spanik—136461K. Wloczko—111111113
WAug 7 · 03:00T. Spanik—1111123K. Wloczko—85100
WAug 6 · 03:45T. Spanik—1111128113K. Wloczko—713101132
WAug 3 · 14:15T. Spanik—1112113K. Wloczko—71040
LAug 2 · 09:00T. Spanik—10660K. Wloczko—1211113
LAug 2 · 06:30T. Spanik—125851K. Wloczko—101111113
LJul 20 · 11:15T. Spanik—85111162K. Wloczko—111189113
LJun 22 · 12:30T. Spanik—10119111K. Wloczko—12711133
T. Spanik10
WSep 8 · 12:55T. Spanik1.9111118143M. Olejnik1.804611121WSep 8 · 10:00T. Spanik2.201111113J. Kosowski1.619850WSep 8 · 09:00T. Spanik1.611113113K. Kolodziej2.2051180LSep 8 · 07:45J. Folwarski1.4411115113T. Spanik2.63571181WSep 8 · 06:55J. Kosowski1.739131191T. Spanik2.0011154113LSep 8 · 06:05T. Spanik1.9181111782M. Olejnik1.80117911113WSep 8 · 04:30T. Spanik2.751111610113P. David1.4047111262WSep 8 · 03:45A. Wiecek2.00181174102T. Spanik1.731691111123WAug 31 · 13:45T. Spanik1.61101111113M. Jadczyk2.20123431LAug 31 · 12:30T. Spanik1.831110111562K. Petas1.831312613113
K. Wloczko10
LSep 8 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.361211113K. Wloczko3.0010980WSep 8 · 10:50K. Wloczko2.7511117113A. Wiecek1.40981181WSep 8 · 09:40K. Wloczko2.3871112113M. Olejnik1.531141081LSep 7 · 14:15K. Wisniewski2.80111136113K. Wloczko1.3798111162WSep 7 · 13:25K. Glazowski2.406980K. Wloczko1.501111113WSep 7 · 11:20M. Sklensky2.327820K. Wloczko1.521111113LSep 7 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz3.1011911123K. Wloczko1.307116101WSep 7 · 09:00K. Strowski2.5091312101K. Wloczko1.44111510123WSep 4 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.411011116113K. Wisniewski2.6012781192WSep 4 · 12:35J. Zochniak4.955980K. Wloczko1.131111113
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