TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098509
Played Sep 9Finished
Adrian Wiecek
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191177118111412
Krzysztof Wloczko
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:11 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeAdrian Wiecek to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdrian Wiecek above · Krzysztof Wloczko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 101 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Adrian Wiecek at 66.7%
101 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Wiecek 26–17 Krzysztof Wloczko Krzysztof Wloczko has won 17 of their 43 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 16h before this match
Wloczko beat Wiecek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:11What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Wiecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-17 in 43
Wiecek
Correct
gap of 9 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wiecek 1872 vs Wloczko 1880
Wloczko
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wiecek 40% vs Wloczko 60%
Wloczko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wiecek 30% vs Wloczko 60%
Wloczko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wiecek -1 · Wloczko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Wiecek) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloczko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiecek 1.33 / Wloczko 3.25
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Wiecek)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13098509
Wiecek1.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 201 of 323
Up 2–0, closes it95% 82 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it80% 147 of 185
Wloczko3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 155 of 391
Down 0–1, comes back18% 37 of 211
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWiecek6wins
AwayWloczko4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWiecek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWiecek75%6 of 8
AwayWloczkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wiecek8Wloczko2n = 10Wiecek took 8 of 10
S2Wiecek7Wloczko3n = 10Wiecek took 7 of 10
S3Wiecek6Wloczko4n = 10Wiecek took 6 of 10
S4Wiecek1Wloczko3n = 4Wloczko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWiecekWloczkoWiecek − WloczkoBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.533.4+3.1per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWiecekWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime778 / 1412 vs 944 / 180555.1%52.3%778 / 1412 vs 944 / 1805Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WiecekWiecek 1.33/Wloczko 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.3%
Wiecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wiecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 16 · 08:30A. Wiecek—111117123K. Wloczko—7619101
WJun 10 · 04:00A. Wiecek—1111133K. Wloczko—63110
LJun 8 · 07:40A. Wiecek—1112971K. Wloczko—91411113
LMay 18 · 12:50A. Wiecek—81111962K. Wloczko—116811113
WApr 1 · 06:15A. Wiecek—1111133K. Wloczko—89110
LMar 11 · 05:15A. Wiecek—1157111K. Wloczko—81111133
WFeb 23 · 15:50A. Wiecek—1111113K. Wloczko—6890
LJan 7 · 15:50A. Wiecek—8990K. Wloczko—1111113
WJan 7 · 10:35A. Wiecek—1111113K. Wloczko—8980
WJan 5 · 13:45A. Wiecek—1111123K. Wloczko—99100
A. Wiecek10
LSep 9 · 04:10A. Wiecek1.73911451G. Felkel2.0011811113LSep 8 · 14:35T. Spanik1.73101111113A. Wiecek2.00129781WSep 8 · 13:20A. Wiecek1.361011177113K. Kolodziej3.00127151172WSep 8 · 12:05M. Olejnik1.8346111192A. Wiecek1.83111186113LSep 8 · 10:50K. Wloczko2.7511117113A. Wiecek1.40981181LSep 8 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.6712611133A. Wiecek2.1010118111LSep 8 · 08:05A. Wiecek2.508121161P. David1.5011146113LSep 8 · 06:30J. Folwarski1.448111110123A. Wiecek2.63118912102WSep 8 · 05:40J. Kosowski1.677121191A. Wiecek2.1011146113LSep 8 · 04:55A. Wiecek2.109580M. Olejnik1.671111113
K. Wloczko10
WSep 8 · 14:10K. Wloczko1.8071111113K. Kolodziej1.91119991LSep 8 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.361211113K. Wloczko3.0010980LSep 8 · 11:40T. Spanik1.8013116123K. Wloczko1.9111811101WSep 8 · 10:50K. Wloczko2.7511117113A. Wiecek1.40981181WSep 8 · 09:40K. Wloczko2.3871112113M. Olejnik1.531141081LSep 7 · 14:15K. Wisniewski2.80111136113K. Wloczko1.3798111162WSep 7 · 13:25K. Glazowski2.406980K. Wloczko1.501111113WSep 7 · 11:20M. Sklensky2.327820K. Wloczko1.521111113LSep 7 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz3.1011911123K. Wloczko1.307116101WSep 7 · 09:00K. Strowski2.5091312101K. Wloczko1.44111510123
Upcoming Matches
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Sep 9 · 05:40A. Wiecek1.83A. Grela1.83—Sep 9 · 06:55A. Wiecek1.67D. Michna2.10—Sep 9 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.61T. Spanik2.20—Sep 9 · 09:20A. Wiecek1.83A. Grela1.83—Sep 9 · 10:00A. Wiecek1.67D. Michna2.10—Sep 9 · 11:15A. Wiecek1.80G. Felkel1.91—Sep 9 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.44K. Kolodziej2.63—Sep 9 · 13:45A. Wiecek1.91M. Jadczyk1.80—
K. Wloczko
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