TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098582
Played Sep 9Finished
Dawid Michna
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9116111311119711
Krzysztof Wloczko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:23 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeDawid Michna to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDawid Michna above · Krzysztof Wloczko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 99 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Dawid Michna at 58.5%
99 points played in total.
H2H Dawid Michna 24–22 Krzysztof Wloczko Krzysztof Wloczko has won 22 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:23What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Michna
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-22 in 46
Michna
Wrong
gap of 2 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michna 1945 vs Wloczko 1857
Michna
Wrong
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michna 40% vs Wloczko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michna 50% vs Wloczko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Michna -3 · Wloczko -1
Michna
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Michna)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michna form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichna 1.61 / Wloczko 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Michna)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13098582
Michna1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 82 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it77% 63 of 82
Wloczko2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 155 of 391
Down 0–1, comes back18% 37 of 211
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichna6wins
AwayWloczko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMichna leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichna85.7%6 of 7
AwayWloczko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michna7Wloczko3n = 10Michna took 7 of 10
S2Michna3Wloczko7n = 10Wloczko took 7 of 10
S3Michna2Wloczko8n = 10Wloczko took 8 of 10
S4Michna6Wloczko0n = 6Michna took 6 of 6
S5Michna2Wloczko1n = 3Michna took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichnaWloczkoM − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.835.3+1.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichnaWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime528 / 969 vs 944 / 180654.5%52.3%528 / 969 vs 944 / 1806Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichnaMichna 1.61/Wloczko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Michna · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wloczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 07:20D. Michna—7970K. Wloczko—1111113
WJun 18 · 10:25D. Michna—119611113K. Wloczko—51111572
WApr 24 · 15:10D. Michna—1111113K. Wloczko—9990
WMar 9 · 05:15D. Michna—14511113K. Wloczko—1211551
LMar 6 · 06:15D. Michna—91050K. Wloczko—1112113
WMar 5 · 07:35D. Michna—118811113K. Wloczko—91111552
LMar 4 · 10:30D. Michna—101060K. Wloczko—1212113
WMar 4 · 08:10D. Michna—11115113K. Wloczko—761131
LFeb 10 · 11:20D. Michna—11691172K. Wloczko—911117113
WFeb 10 · 06:45D. Michna—11119113K. Wloczko—961191
D. Michna10
LSep 9 · 03:45A. Grela1.67981111113D. Michna2.1011118952LSep 4 · 15:25D. Michna2.10136121182A. Dosz1.671111149113LSep 4 · 13:45A. Wiecek1.4411119113D. Michna2.63891191WSep 4 · 12:55A. Grela1.6112611642D. Michna2.201011911113WSep 4 · 12:05D. Michna1.671111113K. Kolodziej2.109480LSep 4 · 10:50D. Michna1.836880M. Jadczyk1.831111113WSep 4 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.539111181D. Michna2.3811713113WSep 4 · 07:20D. Michna1.80121111113A. Dosz1.911013771LSep 4 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.831112115123D. Michna1.83914911102WSep 4 · 04:55A. Grela1.738770D. Michna2.001111113
K. Wloczko10
LSep 9 · 03:00A. Wiecek1.33111178143K. Wloczko3.25971111122WSep 8 · 14:10K. Wloczko1.8071111113K. Kolodziej1.91119991LSep 8 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.361211113K. Wloczko3.0010980LSep 8 · 11:40T. Spanik1.8013116123K. Wloczko1.9111811101WSep 8 · 10:50K. Wloczko2.7511117113A. Wiecek1.40981181WSep 8 · 09:40K. Wloczko2.3871112113M. Olejnik1.531141081LSep 7 · 14:15K. Wisniewski2.80111136113K. Wloczko1.3798111162WSep 7 · 13:25K. Glazowski2.406980K. Wloczko1.501111113WSep 7 · 11:20M. Sklensky2.327820K. Wloczko1.521111113LSep 7 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz3.1011911123K. Wloczko1.307116101
Upcoming Matches
D. Michna
Sep 9 · 06:05D. Michna1.73T. Spanik2.00—Sep 9 · 06:55D. Michna2.10A. Wiecek1.67—Sep 9 · 07:45D. Michna2.20G. Felkel1.61—Sep 9 · 09:00D. Michna2.20G. Felkel1.61—Sep 9 · 10:00D. Michna2.10A. Wiecek1.67—Sep 9 · 11:40D. Michna1.83K. Kolodziej1.83—Sep 9 · 12:55D. Michna1.73M. Jadczyk2.00—Sep 9 · 14:35D. Michna2.00A. Grela1.73—
K. Wloczko
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