TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098435
Played Sep 9Finished
Artur Grela
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911811118119115
Dawid Michna
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:01 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeArtur Grela to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Grela above · Dawid Michna below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 94 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Artur Grela at 56.2%
94 points played in total.
H2H Artur Grela 27–27 Dawid Michna Dead even across their 54 meetings.
Last 10 · 3–7Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:01What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Grela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-27 in 54
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grela 1893 vs Michna 1945
Michna
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grela 60% vs Michna 40%
Grela
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grela 60% vs Michna 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grela -2 · Michna -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Grela)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrela 1.67 / Michna 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Grela)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13098435
Grela1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 164 of 252
Up 2–0, closes it95% 56 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it75% 110 of 146
Michna2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 114 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back36% 41 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back13% 6 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrela3wins
AwayMichna7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMichna leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrela25%1 of 4
AwayMichna66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grela4Michna6n = 10Michna took 6 of 10
S2Grela4Michna6n = 10Michna took 6 of 10
S3Grela4Michna6n = 10Michna took 6 of 10
S4Grela4Michna4n = 8split evenly
S5Grela1Michna3n = 4Michna took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrelaMichnaG − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.541.9−5.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrelaMichnaBasisWin rate · lifetime630 / 1248 vs 528 / 96950.5%54.5%630 / 1248 vs 528 / 969Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrelaGrela 1.67/Michna 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Grela · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Grela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 04:55A. Grela—8770D. Michna—1111113
WAug 27 · 12:30A. Grela—91111153D. Michna—1189131
LAug 27 · 04:10A. Grela—7860D. Michna—1111113
LAug 26 · 09:00A. Grela—811771D. Michna—11911113
LAug 26 · 08:05A. Grela—111051362D. Michna—9121111113
WAug 15 · 12:30A. Grela—117711113D. Michna—61111662
LAug 15 · 08:30A. Grela—14711192D. Michna—1211811113
LAug 14 · 15:45A. Grela—8113101D. Michna—11711123
WAug 14 · 06:30A. Grela—71111113D. Michna—115981
LJul 15 · 12:30A. Grela—11311572D. Michna—911711113
A. Grela10
LSep 5 · 13:45A. Grela1.8391111492S. Kolasa1.83117811113LSep 5 · 12:30A. Grela1.5314381142M. Nowalinski2.381211114113WSep 5 · 11:15A. Grela1.33811711113G. Adamiak3.2511611732WSep 5 · 10:00M. Domin3.251111471A. Grela1.3313711113WSep 5 · 09:20A. Grela1.3011712113S. Sporek3.407111071LSep 5 · 08:30A. Grela1.8081141182S. Kolasa1.91117116113LSep 5 · 06:55A. Grela1.3011611982M. Domin3.40911611113WSep 5 · 05:40A. Grela1.3081111123S. Sporek3.401167101WSep 5 · 04:10A. Grela1.3311117113G. Adamiak3.25641151WSep 5 · 03:00A. Grela1.4011511123M. Nowalinski2.759115101
D. Michna10
LSep 9 · 04:30D. Michna1.6196131172K. Wloczko2.201111119113LSep 4 · 15:25D. Michna2.10136121182A. Dosz1.671111149113LSep 4 · 13:45A. Wiecek1.4411119113D. Michna2.63891191WSep 4 · 12:55A. Grela1.6112611642D. Michna2.201011911113WSep 4 · 12:05D. Michna1.671111113K. Kolodziej2.109480LSep 4 · 10:50D. Michna1.836880M. Jadczyk1.831111113WSep 4 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.539111181D. Michna2.3811713113WSep 4 · 07:20D. Michna1.80121111113A. Dosz1.911013771LSep 4 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.831112115123D. Michna1.83914911102WSep 4 · 04:55A. Grela1.738770D. Michna2.001111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Grela
Sep 9 · 05:40A. Grela1.83A. Wiecek1.83—Sep 9 · 06:30A. Grela2.00G. Felkel1.73—Sep 9 · 08:05A. Grela1.53K. Wloczko2.38—Sep 9 · 09:20A. Grela1.83A. Wiecek1.83—Sep 9 · 10:50A. Grela1.50K. Kolodziej2.50—Sep 9 · 12:05A. Grela2.10M. Jadczyk1.67—Sep 9 · 13:20A. Grela2.00G. Felkel1.73—Sep 9 · 14:35A. Grela1.73D. Michna2.00—
D. Michna
Sep 9 · 06:05D. Michna1.73T. Spanik2.00—Sep 9 · 06:55D. Michna2.10A. Wiecek1.67—Sep 9 · 07:45D. Michna2.20G. Felkel1.61—Sep 9 · 09:00D. Michna2.20G. Felkel1.61—Sep 9 · 10:00D. Michna2.10A. Wiecek1.67—Sep 9 · 11:40D. Michna1.83K. Kolodziej1.83—Sep 9 · 12:55D. Michna1.73M. Jadczyk2.00—Sep 9 · 14:35D. Michna2.00A. Grela1.73—
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