TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098282
Played Sep 9Finished
Artur Grela
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181171311––––
Krzysztof Wloczko
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:49 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeArtur Grela to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Grela above · Krzysztof Wloczko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 61 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Artur Grela at 62.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Artur Grela 17–13 Krzysztof Wloczko Krzysztof Wloczko has won 13 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:49What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Grela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-13 in 30
Grela
Correct
gap of 4 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grela 1928 vs Wloczko 1909
Grela
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grela 80% vs Wloczko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grela 70% vs Wloczko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grela +4 · Wloczko +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Grela)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloczko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrela 1.53 / Wloczko 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Grela)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13098282
Grela1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 165 of 253
Up 2–0, closes it95% 56 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it75% 110 of 146
Wloczko2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 155 of 392
Down 0–1, comes back18% 38 of 215
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrela8wins
AwayWloczko2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderGrela leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrela88.9%8 of 9
AwayWloczkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grela9Wloczko1n = 10Grela took 9 of 10
S2Grela5Wloczko5n = 10split evenly
S3Grela4Wloczko6n = 10Wloczko took 6 of 10
S4Grela6Wloczko1n = 7Grela took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrelaWloczkoG − WBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match37.733.6+4.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrelaWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime633 / 1251 vs 947 / 180950.6%52.4%633 / 1251 vs 947 / 1809Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrelaGrela 1.53/Wloczko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Grela · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Grela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 6 · 06:55A. Grela—12124113K. Wloczko—10101161
WJul 31 · 07:20A. Grela—113815113K. Wloczko—811111392
WJun 16 · 07:20A. Grela—11117113K. Wloczko—871181
WJun 8 · 06:15A. Grela—1111113K. Wloczko—4950
WMay 28 · 06:15A. Grela—11128133K. Wloczko—71011111
WMay 14 · 07:15A. Grela—11711113K. Wloczko—511561
WApr 24 · 10:45A. Grela—1112113K. Wloczko—51090
WMar 16 · 08:40A. Grela—12911113K. Wloczko—1011541
LMar 6 · 13:25A. Grela—10840K. Wloczko—1211113
LMar 6 · 04:00A. Grela—118691K. Wloczko—81111113
A. Grela10
LSep 10 · 07:00A. Grela1.8371111672M. Jadczyk1.83114811113WSep 10 · 05:50A. Grela1.8311114113M. Miastowski1.83291161WSep 10 · 04:00A. Grela1.53131111113K. Wloczko2.38159941LSep 10 · 03:00A. Grela2.00101141292G. Felkel1.731271110113LSep 9 · 14:35D. Michna2.0011911113A. Grela1.73711951WSep 9 · 13:20A. Grela1.836111111143G. Felkel1.83116135122LSep 9 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.73119711113A. Grela2.0021111482WSep 9 · 10:50K. Kolodziej2.50281161A. Grela1.5011116113LSep 9 · 09:20A. Wiecek1.67117137133A. Grela2.104111111112WSep 9 · 06:30G. Felkel1.7311911682A. Grela2.00711411113
K. Wloczko10
LSep 10 · 09:00K. Wloczko3.001149101G. Felkel1.3661111123WSep 10 · 07:45K. Wloczko2.5015114113M. Jadczyk1.501361181WSep 10 · 05:30K. Wloczko3.00511159143G. Felkel1.361171311122LSep 10 · 04:00A. Grela1.53131111113K. Wloczko2.38159941LSep 10 · 03:20K. Wloczko2.10512631D. Michna1.67111011113WSep 9 · 07:20T. Spanik1.7381441282K. Wloczko2.0011121110113WSep 9 · 05:15G. Felkel1.36512111092K. Wloczko3.001110912113WSep 9 · 04:30D. Michna1.6196131172K. Wloczko2.201111119113LSep 9 · 03:00A. Wiecek1.33111178143K. Wloczko3.25971111122WSep 8 · 14:10K. Wloczko1.8071111113K. Kolodziej1.91119991
Upcoming Matches
A. Grela
K. Wloczko1 of 5 neutral
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