TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098586
Played Sep 9Finished
Krystian Kolodziej
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
211811116611––
Artur Grela
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:21 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeArtur Grela to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrystian Kolodziej above · Artur Grela below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 66 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Artur Grela at 64.5%
66 points played in total.
H2H Krystian Kolodziej 1–5 Artur Grela Krystian Kolodziej has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:21What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Grela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Grela
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolodziej 1878 vs Grela 1926
Grela
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolodziej 60% vs Grela 80%
Grela
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolodziej 40% vs Grela 70%
Grela
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolodziej +1 · Grela -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Grela)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grela form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolodziej 2.50 / Grela 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Grela)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13098586
Kolodziej2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 75 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back21% 24 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 63
Grela1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 165 of 253
Up 2–0, closes it95% 56 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it75% 110 of 146
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKolodziej1wins
AwayGrela5wins
3 of 6 to a deciderGrela leads 5–1, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolodziej20%1 of 5
AwayGrelan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolodziej5Grela1n = 6Kolodziej took 5 of 6
S2Kolodziej3Grela3n = 6split evenly
S3Kolodziej1Grela5n = 6Grela took 5 of 6
S4Kolodziej2Grela3n = 5Grela took 3 of 5
S5Kolodziej0Grela3n = 3Grela took 3 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away350%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKolodziejGrelaK − GBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match37.841.2−3.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolodziejGrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime1314 / 1954 vs 634 / 125367.3%50.6%1314 / 1954 vs 634 / 1253Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrelaKolodziej 2.50/Grela 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Grela · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Grela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LApr 24 · 15:55K. Kolodziej—117191A. Grela—91111113
LFeb 24 · 16:55K. Kolodziej—11117952A. Grela—571111113
LMar 12 · 16:55K. Kolodziej—117591A. Grela—91111113
LMar 4 · 18:50K. Kolodziej—101191162A. Grela—127119113
WJan 15 · 16:55K. Kolodziej—1113113A. Grela—31160
LJan 8 · 20:00K. Kolodziej—11561192A. Grela—911116113
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 9 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.4461111113K. Kolodziej2.63116771LSep 9 · 11:40D. Michna1.83118119113K. Kolodziej1.8361191152WSep 9 · 09:40K. Kolodziej2.751111113M. Jadczyk1.404960LSep 8 · 14:10K. Wloczko1.8071111113K. Kolodziej1.91119991LSep 8 · 13:20A. Wiecek1.361011177113K. Kolodziej3.00127151172WSep 8 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.3311711142K. Kolodziej3.25911911113WSep 8 · 10:25M. Olejnik1.50111111792K. Kolodziej2.50136811113LSep 8 · 09:00T. Spanik1.611113113K. Kolodziej2.2051180LSep 7 · 12:30S. Kolasa1.734111110113K. Kolodziej2.0011251282WSep 7 · 11:40P. David1.3061381162K. Kolodziej3.401111115113
A. Grela10
WSep 9 · 13:20A. Grela1.836111111143G. Felkel1.83116135122LSep 9 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.73119711113A. Grela2.0021111482LSep 9 · 09:20A. Wiecek1.67117137133A. Grela2.104111111112WSep 9 · 08:05A. Grela1.531111133K. Wloczko2.3887110WSep 9 · 06:30G. Felkel1.7311911682A. Grela2.00711411113WSep 9 · 05:40A. Wiecek1.8396121162A. Grela1.831111108113WSep 9 · 04:55A. Grela1.80111213113T. Spanik1.916141181WSep 9 · 03:45A. Grela1.67981111113D. Michna2.1011118952LSep 5 · 13:45A. Grela1.8391111492S. Kolasa1.83117811113LSep 5 · 12:30A. Grela1.5314381142M. Nowalinski2.381211114113
Upcoming Matches
K. Kolodziej2 of 10 neutral
Sep 9 · 14:10K. Kolodziej2.25G. Felkel1.57—Sep 10 · 09:20K. Kolodziej2.63A. Grela1.44—Sep 10 · 10:50K. Kolodziej1.83D. Michna1.83—Sep 10 · 12:05K. Kolodziej3.00M. Jadczyk1.36—Sep 10 · 13:20K. Kolodziej2.25G. Felkel1.57—Sep 10 · 14:35K. Kolodziej1.67K. Wloczko2.10—Sep 10 · 15:25K. Kolodziej—J. Chmielowski——Sep 10 · 16:05K. Kolodziej—M. Olbrycht——Sep 10 · 17:20K. Kolodziej—K. Staszczyk——Sep 10 · 18:30K. Kolodziej—J. Mitas——
A. Grela
Sep 9 · 14:35A. Grela1.73D. Michna2.00—Sep 10 · 03:00A. Grela2.00G. Felkel1.73—Sep 10 · 04:00A. Grela1.53K. Wloczko2.38—Sep 10 · 07:00A. Grela1.83M. Jadczyk1.83—Sep 10 · 08:35A. Grela1.73D. Michna2.00—Sep 10 · 09:20A. Grela1.44K. Kolodziej2.63—Sep 10 · 10:00A. Grela1.53K. Wloczko2.38—Sep 10 · 11:15A. Grela2.00G. Felkel1.73—Sep 10 · 12:30A. Grela1.73D. Michna2.00—Sep 10 · 13:45A. Grela—M. Jadczyk——
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