TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098480
Played Sep 9Finished
Krystian Kolodziej
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114119116––––
Marcin Jadczyk
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:59 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeMarcin Jadczyk to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrystian Kolodziej above · Marcin Jadczyk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 52 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Marcin Jadczyk at 67.5%
52 points played in total.
H2H Krystian Kolodziej 5–7 Marcin Jadczyk Krystian Kolodziej has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Jadczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Jadczyk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolodziej 1848 vs Jadczyk 1875
Jadczyk
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolodziej 40% vs Jadczyk 60%
Jadczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolodziej 30% vs Jadczyk 60%
Jadczyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolodziej -2 · Jadczyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Jadczyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadczyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolodziej 2.75 / Jadczyk 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 68%
Edge (Jadczyk)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13098480
Kolodziej2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 75 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back21% 24 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 63
Jadczyk1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 434 of 682
Up 2–0, closes it98% 218 of 222
Up 1–0, closes it83% 341 of 410
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolodziej5wins
AwayJadczyk5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolodziej60%3 of 5
AwayJadczyk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolodziej5Jadczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolodziej5Jadczyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolodziej5Jadczyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Kolodziej4Jadczyk4n = 8split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolodziejJadczykK − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.036.7+0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolodziejJadczykBasisWin rate · lifetime1313 / 1953 vs 976 / 166467.2%58.7%1313 / 1953 vs 976 / 1664Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadczykKolodziej 2.75/Jadczyk 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.5%
Jadczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolodziej won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 6 · 09:40K. Kolodziej—881161M. Jadczyk—11119113
LJul 6 · 09:40K. Kolodziej—881161M. Jadczyk—11119113
WJul 3 · 10:50K. Kolodziej—11116123M. Jadczyk—5911101
LJul 2 · 12:55K. Kolodziej—1157121M. Jadczyk—31111143
WJun 30 · 10:25K. Kolodziej—91111113M. Jadczyk—119491
WJun 29 · 09:40K. Kolodziej—111314113M. Jadczyk—7111621
LJun 30 · 24:20K. Kolodziej—12660M. Jadczyk—1411113
WJun 29 · 21:55K. Kolodziej—121111113M. Jadczyk—148981
LJun 16 · 23:25K. Kolodziej—1286101M. Jadczyk—101111123
WJun 16 · 21:05K. Kolodziej—1111113M. Jadczyk—9840
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 8 · 14:10K. Wloczko1.8071111113K. Kolodziej1.91119991LSep 8 · 13:20A. Wiecek1.361011177113K. Kolodziej3.00127151172WSep 8 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.3311711142K. Kolodziej3.25911911113WSep 8 · 10:25M. Olejnik1.50111111792K. Kolodziej2.50136811113LSep 8 · 09:00T. Spanik1.611113113K. Kolodziej2.2051180LSep 7 · 12:30S. Kolasa1.734111110113K. Kolodziej2.0011251282WSep 7 · 11:40P. David1.3061381162K. Kolodziej3.401111115113LSep 7 · 10:50K. Kolodziej3.259780J. Kosowski1.331111113LSep 7 · 09:40K. Kolodziej4.5011781192J. Folwarski1.17511117113LSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592
M. Jadczyk10
WSep 9 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.9161111113G. Felkel1.80119751LSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871LSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591WSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282WSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113LSep 4 · 14:10A. Grela2.10129147113M. Jadczyk1.671011121182LSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113WSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111WSep 4 · 10:50D. Michna1.836880M. Jadczyk1.831111113
Upcoming Matches
K. Kolodziej3 of 10 neutral
Sep 9 · 11:40K. Kolodziej1.83D. Michna1.83—Sep 9 · 12:30K. Kolodziej2.63A. Wiecek1.44—Sep 9 · 14:10K. Kolodziej2.25G. Felkel1.57—Sep 10 · 09:20K. Kolodziej—A. Grela——Sep 10 · 10:50K. Kolodziej—D. Michna——Sep 10 · 12:05K. Kolodziej—M. Jadczyk——Sep 10 · 13:20K. Kolodziej—G. Felkel——Sep 10 · 14:35K. Kolodziej—K. Wloczko——Sep 10 · 15:25K. Kolodziej—J. Chmielowski——Sep 10 · 16:05K. Kolodziej—M. Olbrycht——
M. Jadczyk2 of 10 neutral
Sep 9 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.73A. Grela2.00—Sep 9 · 12:55M. Jadczyk2.00D. Michna1.73—Sep 9 · 13:45M. Jadczyk1.80A. Wiecek1.91—Sep 10 · 03:40M. Jadczyk—M. Miastowski——Sep 10 · 04:20M. Jadczyk—G. Felkel——Sep 10 · 06:15M. Jadczyk—D. Michna——Sep 10 · 07:00M. Jadczyk—A. Grela——Sep 10 · 07:45M. Jadczyk—K. Wloczko——Sep 10 · 09:40M. Jadczyk—D. Michna——Sep 10 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.91G. Felkel1.80—
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