TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13104942
Played Sep 10Finished
Artur Grela
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
112119411116––
Maksymilian Miastowski
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtur Grela to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Grela above · Maksymilian Miastowski below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 65 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Artur Grela at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Artur Grela 30–29 Maksymilian Miastowski Maksymilian Miastowski has won 29 of their 59 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:48What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Miastowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-29 in 59
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grela 1910 vs Miastowski 1746
Grela
Correct
both rated, 164 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grela 40% vs Miastowski 20%
Grela
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grela 60% vs Miastowski 40%
Grela
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grela +1 · Miastowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Grela)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miastowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrela 1.83 / Miastowski 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Grela)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13104942
Grela1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Miastowski1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrela6wins
AwayMiastowski4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGrela leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrela57.1%4 of 7
AwayMiastowski33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grela7Miastowski3n = 10Grela took 7 of 10
S2Grela5Miastowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Grela4Miastowski6n = 10Miastowski took 6 of 10
S4Grela9Miastowski0n = 9Grela took 9 of 9
S5Grela1Miastowski4n = 5Miastowski took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrelaMiastowskiG − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.340.6+4.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrelaMiastowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime637 / 1257 vs 568 / 110150.7%51.6%637 / 1257 vs 568 / 1101Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrelaGrela 1.83/Miastowski 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Grela · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Grela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 9 · 10:25A. Grela—11717113M. Miastowski—6111571
WJun 9 · 06:40A. Grela—1111113M. Miastowski—9850
WJun 8 · 12:25A. Grela—111511113M. Miastowski—1313641
LJun 8 · 04:00A. Grela—11761192M. Miastowski—411115113
WMay 21 · 15:35A. Grela—1011911113M. Miastowski—12811582
LMay 21 · 07:40A. Grela—99111182M. Miastowski—111118113
WApr 9 · 13:40A. Grela—12119113M. Miastowski—1081171
LApr 9 · 09:35A. Grela—13691182M. Miastowski—1111119113
LApr 4 · 10:00A. Grela—119121162M. Miastowski—911149113
WApr 4 · 09:10A. Grela—111110113M. Miastowski—891291
A. Grela10
WSep 10 · 04:00A. Grela1.53131111113K. Wloczko2.38159941LSep 10 · 03:00A. Grela2.00101141292G. Felkel1.731271110113LSep 9 · 14:35D. Michna2.0011911113A. Grela1.73711951WSep 9 · 13:20A. Grela1.836111111143G. Felkel1.83116135122LSep 9 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.73119711113A. Grela2.0021111482WSep 9 · 10:50K. Kolodziej2.50281161A. Grela1.5011116113LSep 9 · 09:20A. Wiecek1.67117137133A. Grela2.104111111112WSep 9 · 08:05A. Grela1.531111133K. Wloczko2.3887110WSep 9 · 06:30G. Felkel1.7311911682A. Grela2.00711411113WSep 9 · 05:40A. Wiecek1.8396121162A. Grela1.831111108113
M. Miastowski10
LSep 10 · 04:40M. Miastowski1.8311211962D. Michna1.83711811113LSep 10 · 03:40M. Miastowski2.10881181M. Jadczyk1.6711112113WAug 30 · 14:35M. Nowalinski1.83511713112M. Miastowski1.831141111133LAug 30 · 13:20M. Miastowski2.3871120T. Spanik1.531113113LAug 30 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.5711119113M. Miastowski2.25741191LAug 30 · 10:50M. Gawlas3.001112113M. Miastowski1.3681090LAug 30 · 09:20A. Daniel2.2091111113M. Miastowski1.61116561WAug 30 · 07:45M. Miastowski2.10211911113M. Jadczyk1.6711611982WAug 30 · 06:30M. Miastowski1.5711512113M. Nowalinski2.259111081WAug 30 · 05:15M. Miastowski2.251114113T. Spanik1.5761270
Upcoming Matches
A. Grela
M. Miastowski
Sep 10 · 06:35M. Miastowski1.73K. Wloczko2.00—Sep 10 · 08:10M. Miastowski2.50G. Felkel1.50—Sep 10 · 09:45M. Miastowski1.44G. Poliniewicz2.47—Sep 10 · 10:30M. Miastowski1.39K. Wisniewski2.65—Sep 10 · 12:10M. Miastowski1.68J. Kuzmicz1.99—Sep 10 · 13:00M. Miastowski1.49F. Krcil2.32—Sep 10 · 13:50M. Miastowski1.31D. Kosmal3.00—
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