TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103331
Played Sep 10Finished
Maksymilian Miastowski
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811811112811––
Marcin Jadczyk
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:51 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeMarcin Jadczyk to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksymilian Miastowski above · Marcin Jadczyk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Marcin Jadczyk at 60.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Maksymilian Miastowski 23–32 Marcin Jadczyk Maksymilian Miastowski has won 23 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:51What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jadczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-32 in 55
Jadczyk
Correct
gap of 9 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miastowski 1760 vs Jadczyk 1852
Jadczyk
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miastowski 20% vs Jadczyk 40%
Jadczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miastowski 40% vs Jadczyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Miastowski +1 · Jadczyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Jadczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiastowski 2.10 / Jadczyk 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Jadczyk)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13103331
Miastowski2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 89 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back25% 28 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Jadczyk1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 434 of 682
Up 2–0, closes it98% 218 of 222
Up 1–0, closes it83% 341 of 410
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiastowski3wins
AwayJadczyk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJadczyk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiastowski33.3%1 of 3
AwayJadczyk71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miastowski3Jadczyk7n = 10Jadczyk took 7 of 10
S2Miastowski3Jadczyk7n = 10Jadczyk took 7 of 10
S3Miastowski5Jadczyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Miastowski5Jadczyk4n = 9Miastowski took 5 of 9
S5Miastowski1Jadczyk2n = 3Jadczyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiastowskiJadczykM − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.342.3−2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiastowskiJadczykBasisWin rate · lifetime577 / 1114 vs 978 / 166951.8%58.6%577 / 1114 vs 978 / 1669Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadczykMiastowski 2.10/Jadczyk 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Jadczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jadczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 12:05M. Miastowski—741191M. Jadczyk—11119113
WAug 30 · 07:45M. Miastowski—211911113M. Jadczyk—11611982
LAug 23 · 06:05M. Miastowski—111271192M. Jadczyk—714119113
WAug 11 · 06:55M. Miastowski—13811113M. Jadczyk—1111591
LAug 10 · 07:45M. Miastowski—15971162M. Jadczyk—1311116113
LAug 9 · 03:45M. Miastowski—1281181M. Jadczyk—14115113
LJun 10 · 11:35M. Miastowski—771181M. Jadczyk—11113113
LJun 9 · 13:15M. Miastowski—10118101M. Jadczyk—12711123
WJun 9 · 04:40M. Miastowski—111411143M. Jadczyk—13126121
LMay 26 · 03:55M. Miastowski—71090M. Jadczyk—1112113
M. Miastowski10
LSep 10 · 04:40M. Miastowski1.8311211962D. Michna1.83711811113WAug 30 · 14:35M. Nowalinski1.83511713112M. Miastowski1.831141111133LAug 30 · 13:20M. Miastowski2.3871120T. Spanik1.531113113LAug 30 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.5711119113M. Miastowski2.25741191LAug 30 · 10:50M. Gawlas3.001112113M. Miastowski1.3681090LAug 30 · 09:20A. Daniel2.2091111113M. Miastowski1.61116561WAug 30 · 07:45M. Miastowski2.10211911113M. Jadczyk1.6711611982WAug 30 · 06:30M. Miastowski1.5711512113M. Nowalinski2.259111081WAug 30 · 05:15M. Miastowski2.251114113T. Spanik1.5761270LAug 30 · 04:10M. Gawlas3.4011111011113M. Miastowski1.3013912892
M. Jadczyk10
LSep 9 · 13:45A. Wiecek2.0011134113M. Jadczyk1.739111171LSep 9 · 12:55D. Michna1.7311117113M. Jadczyk2.00871171WSep 9 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.73119711113A. Grela2.0021111482WSep 9 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.9161111113G. Felkel1.80119751LSep 9 · 09:40K. Kolodziej2.751111113M. Jadczyk1.404960LSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871LSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591WSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282WAug 30 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.5711119113M. Miastowski2.25741191LAug 30 · 07:45M. Miastowski2.10211911113M. Jadczyk1.6711611982
Upcoming Matches
M. Miastowski
Sep 10 · 05:50M. Miastowski1.83A. Grela1.83—Sep 10 · 06:35M. Miastowski1.73K. Wloczko2.00—Sep 10 · 08:10M. Miastowski2.50G. Felkel1.50—Sep 10 · 09:45M. Miastowski1.44G. Poliniewicz2.47—Sep 10 · 10:30M. Miastowski1.39K. Wisniewski2.65—Sep 10 · 12:10M. Miastowski1.68J. Kuzmicz1.99—Sep 10 · 13:00M. Miastowski1.49F. Krcil2.32—Sep 10 · 13:50M. Miastowski1.31D. Kosmal3.00—
M. Jadczyk
Sep 10 · 04:20M. Jadczyk2.20G. Felkel1.61—Sep 10 · 06:15M. Jadczyk1.67D. Michna2.10—Sep 10 · 07:00M. Jadczyk1.83A. Grela1.83—Sep 10 · 07:45M. Jadczyk1.50K. Wloczko2.50—Sep 10 · 09:40M. Jadczyk1.67D. Michna2.10—Sep 10 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.83G. Felkel1.83—Sep 10 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.36K. Kolodziej3.00—Sep 10 · 12:55M. Jadczyk1.50K. Wloczko2.50—Sep 10 · 13:45M. Jadczyk1.83A. Grela1.83—
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