TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13106591
Played Sep 10Finished
Krzysztof Wloczko
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1164119111012––
Grzegorz Felkel
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:44 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Felkel to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrzysztof Wloczko above · Grzegorz Felkel below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 74 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Grzegorz Felkel at 72.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Wloczko 8–42 Grzegorz Felkel Krzysztof Wloczko has won 8 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:44What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Felkel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-42 in 50
Felkel
Correct
gap of 34 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloczko 1895 vs Felkel 1911
Felkel
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloczko 40% vs Felkel 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloczko 60% vs Felkel 40%
Wloczko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloczko +2 · Felkel -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Felkel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Felkel form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloczko 3.00 / Felkel 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Felkel)+3.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13106591
Wloczko3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 158 of 392
Down 0–1, comes back18% 38 of 213
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 129
Felkel1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 227 of 371
Up 2–0, closes it93% 126 of 136
Up 1–0, closes it78% 165 of 212
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloczko2wins
AwayFelkel8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderFelkel leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloczko0%0 of 3
AwayFelkel71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloczko3Felkel7n = 10Felkel took 7 of 10
S2Wloczko2Felkel8n = 10Felkel took 8 of 10
S3Wloczko4Felkel6n = 10Felkel took 6 of 10
S4Wloczko3Felkel5n = 8Felkel took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloczkoFelkelW − FBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.539.9−5.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloczkoFelkelBasisWin rate · lifetime949 / 1814 vs 704 / 117752.3%59.8%949 / 1814 vs 704 / 1177Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FelkelWloczko 3.00/Felkel 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Felkel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Felkel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 12:35K. Wloczko—711681G. Felkel—11711113
LAug 19 · 05:15K. Wloczko—1181071G. Felkel—91112113
LJul 8 · 14:10K. Wloczko—6860G. Felkel—1111113
WJul 8 · 04:55K. Wloczko—31211113G. Felkel—1110831
LJun 29 · 03:25K. Wloczko—741171G. Felkel—11115113
LJun 22 · 14:10K. Wloczko—1195111G. Felkel—71111133
LJun 22 · 04:10K. Wloczko—861131G. Felkel—11118113
WJun 16 · 03:25K. Wloczko—1181111113G. Felkel—13117772
LMay 18 · 13:40K. Wloczko—710130G. Felkel—1112153
LMar 16 · 06:05K. Wloczko—11871182G. Felkel—611118113
K. Wloczko10
WSep 10 · 07:45K. Wloczko2.5015114113M. Jadczyk1.501361181WSep 10 · 05:30K. Wloczko3.00511159143G. Felkel1.361171311122LSep 10 · 04:00A. Grela1.53131111113K. Wloczko2.38159941LSep 10 · 03:20K. Wloczko2.10512631D. Michna1.67111011113LSep 9 · 08:05A. Grela1.531111133K. Wloczko2.3887110WSep 9 · 07:20T. Spanik1.7381441282K. Wloczko2.0011121110113WSep 9 · 05:15G. Felkel1.36512111092K. Wloczko3.001110912113WSep 9 · 04:30D. Michna1.6196131172K. Wloczko2.201111119113LSep 9 · 03:00A. Wiecek1.33111178143K. Wloczko3.25971111122WSep 8 · 14:10K. Wloczko1.8071111113K. Kolodziej1.91119991
G. Felkel10
LSep 10 · 08:10M. Miastowski2.5011811143G. Felkel1.502119121LSep 10 · 05:30K. Wloczko3.00511159143G. Felkel1.361171311122WSep 10 · 04:20M. Jadczyk2.20511114132G. Felkel1.61116911153WSep 10 · 03:00A. Grela2.00101141292G. Felkel1.731271110113LSep 9 · 14:10K. Kolodziej2.251111123G. Felkel1.5788100LSep 9 · 13:20A. Grela1.836111111143G. Felkel1.83116135122WSep 9 · 11:15A. Wiecek1.739117121G. Felkel2.0011711143LSep 9 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.9161111113G. Felkel1.80119751WSep 9 · 09:00D. Michna2.25111111562G. Felkel1.57861311113LSep 9 · 05:15G. Felkel1.36512111092K. Wloczko3.001110912113
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