TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098482
Played Sep 9Finished
Adrian Wiecek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111177111214––
Grzegorz Felkel
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Wiecek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdrian Wiecek above · Grzegorz Felkel below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 82 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Adrian Wiecek at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Wiecek 52–68 Grzegorz Felkel Adrian Wiecek has won 52 of their 120 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:00What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Wiecek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
52-68 in 120
Felkel
Correct
gap of 16 in 120, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wiecek 1899 vs Felkel 1932
Felkel
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wiecek 80% vs Felkel 20%
Wiecek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wiecek 70% vs Felkel 40%
Wiecek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wiecek +4 · Felkel -1
Wiecek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wiecek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Felkel form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiecek 1.73 / Felkel 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wiecek)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13098482
Wiecek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 203 of 327
Up 2–0, closes it95% 83 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it80% 148 of 186
Felkel2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 47 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWiecek3wins
AwayFelkel7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFelkel leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWiecek75%3 of 4
AwayFelkel100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wiecek4Felkel6n = 10Felkel took 6 of 10
S2Wiecek4Felkel6n = 10Felkel took 6 of 10
S3Wiecek5Felkel5n = 10split evenly
S4Wiecek3Felkel4n = 7Felkel took 4 of 7
S5Wiecek1Felkel3n = 4Felkel took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWiecekFelkelW − FBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.640.4−3.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWiecekFelkelBasisWin rate · lifetime781 / 1417 vs 706 / 117655.1%60%781 / 1417 vs 706 / 1176Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WiecekWiecek 1.73/Felkel 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wiecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Felkel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 04:10A. Wiecek—911451G. Felkel—11811113
LAug 3 · 09:00A. Wiecek—881181G. Felkel—11118113
WAug 3 · 05:15A. Wiecek—11711113G. Felkel—611581
LJul 29 · 10:00A. Wiecek—9850G. Felkel—1111113
LJul 29 · 05:40A. Wiecek—112815102G. Felkel—6111113123
LJul 28 · 09:00A. Wiecek—91511842G. Felkel—1113911113
WJul 28 · 04:30A. Wiecek—1111113G. Felkel—8890
LJun 17 · 09:40A. Wiecek—81113962G. Felkel—1151111113
LJun 17 · 07:20A. Wiecek—45110G. Felkel—1111133
WJun 16 · 09:20A. Wiecek—118611113G. Felkel—61111682
A. Wiecek10
WSep 9 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.4461111113K. Kolodziej2.63116771WSep 9 · 10:00D. Michna2.10411411112A. Wiecek1.67114119133WSep 9 · 09:20A. Wiecek1.67117137133A. Grela2.104111111112WSep 9 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.611114116113T. Spanik2.2091671162WSep 9 · 06:55A. Wiecek1.6191111113D. Michna2.20118591LSep 9 · 05:40A. Wiecek1.8396121162A. Grela1.831111108113LSep 9 · 04:10A. Wiecek1.73911451G. Felkel2.0011811113WSep 9 · 03:00A. Wiecek1.33111178143K. Wloczko3.25971111122LSep 8 · 14:35T. Spanik1.73101111113A. Wiecek2.00129781WSep 8 · 13:20A. Wiecek1.361011177113K. Kolodziej3.00127151172
G. Felkel10
LSep 9 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.9161111113G. Felkel1.80119751WSep 9 · 09:00D. Michna2.25111111562G. Felkel1.57861311113LSep 9 · 07:45G. Felkel1.579780D. Michna2.251111113LSep 9 · 06:30G. Felkel1.7311911682A. Grela2.00711411113LSep 9 · 05:15G. Felkel1.36512111092K. Wloczko3.001110912113WSep 9 · 04:10A. Wiecek1.73911451G. Felkel2.0011811113WSep 9 · 03:25G. Felkel1.917141011113T. Spanik1.80111212632LAug 27 · 14:10D. Michna2.2091111113G. Felkel1.61114891WAug 27 · 13:20K. Kolodziej2.5010560G. Felkel1.501211113LAug 27 · 11:15A. Grela1.73121011113G. Felkel2.001012581
Upcoming Matches
A. Wiecek
G. Felkel
Sep 9 · 14:10G. Felkel1.57K. Kolodziej2.25—Sep 10 · 03:00G. Felkel1.73A. Grela2.00—Sep 10 · 04:20G. Felkel1.73M. Jadczyk2.00—Sep 10 · 05:30G. Felkel1.36K. Wloczko3.00—Sep 10 · 07:25G. Felkel1.73D. Michna2.00—Sep 10 · 08:10G. Felkel1.50M. Miastowski2.50—Sep 10 · 10:25G. Felkel1.73M. Jadczyk2.00—Sep 10 · 13:20G. Felkel1.57K. Kolodziej2.25—
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