Artur Grela vs Grzegorz Felkel 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13020360

Played Aug 27Finished

Artur Grela

Home

1.73

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

12101012115118––

Grzegorz Felkel

Away

2.00

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Grzegorz Felkel to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingArtur Grela above · Grzegorz Felkel below

Set 1 · 12-10

Set 2 · 10-12

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 11-8

Point 79 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Grzegorz Felkel at 54.0%

79 points played in total.

H2H Artur Grela 55–67 Grzegorz Felkel Artur Grela has won 55 of their 122 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 11:56

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Grela

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

55-67 in 122

Felkel

Wrong

gap of 12 in 122, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Grela 1893 vs Felkel 1956

Felkel

Wrong

both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Grela 60% vs Felkel 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Grela 60% vs Felkel 70%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Grela -1 · Felkel -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Grela) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsGrela 1.73 / Felkel 2.00

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Grela)+0.4pp

TT Elite Series · #13020360

Grela1.73

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite65% won 161 of 248

Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61

Up 1–0, closes it76% 110 of 144

Felkel2.00

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

90%takes the first set · 9 of 10

As underdog38% won 44 of 117

Down 0–1, comes back17% 12 of 70

Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeGrela4wins

AwayFelkel6wins

4 of 10 to a deciderFelkel leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeGrela60%3 of 5

AwayFelkel80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Grela5Felkel5n = 10split evenly

S2Grela6Felkel4n = 10Grela took 6 of 10

S3Grela1Felkel9n = 10Felkel took 9 of 10

S4Grela4Felkel4n = 8split evenly

S5Grela2Felkel2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricGrelaFelkelG − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.641.6−1.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricGrelaFelkelBasisWin rate · lifetime627 / 1249 vs 732 / 121950.2%60.1%627 / 1249 vs 732 / 1219Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Grela

Grela 1.73/Felkel 2.00

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54.1%

Grela · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Grela won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LAug 27 · 06:55A. Grela—9780G. Felkel—1111113

WAug 26 · 11:40A. Grela—812711123G. Felkel—1110116102

LAug 26 · 04:55A. Grela—11119882G. Felkel—651111113

WAug 20 · 03:25A. Grela—11713113G. Felkel—4111181

WAug 14 · 14:35A. Grela—1112109113G. Felkel—910121162

LAug 14 · 05:15A. Grela—11813101G. Felkel—81115123

LJul 30 · 03:25A. Grela—7128101G. Felkel—111011123

WJul 12 · 13:20A. Grela—111110113G. Felkel—741291

LJul 12 · 05:15A. Grela—6660G. Felkel—1111113

LJul 11 · 14:35A. Grela—811121182G. Felkel—119149113

A. Grela10

LSep 5 · 13:45A. Grela1.8391111492S. Kolasa1.83117811113 LSep 5 · 12:30A. Grela1.5314381142M. Nowalinski2.381211114113 WSep 5 · 11:15A. Grela1.33811711113G. Adamiak3.2511611732 WSep 5 · 10:00M. Domin3.251111471A. Grela1.3313711113 WSep 5 · 09:20A. Grela1.3011712113S. Sporek3.407111071 LSep 5 · 08:30A. Grela1.8081141182S. Kolasa1.91117116113 LSep 5 · 06:55A. Grela1.3011611982M. Domin3.40911611113 WSep 5 · 05:40A. Grela1.3081111123S. Sporek3.401167101 WSep 5 · 04:10A. Grela1.3311117113G. Adamiak3.25641151 WSep 5 · 03:00A. Grela1.4011511123M. Nowalinski2.759115101

G. Felkel10

LAug 27 · 14:10D. Michna2.2091111113G. Felkel1.61114891 WAug 27 · 13:20K. Kolodziej2.5010560G. Felkel1.501211113 LAug 27 · 10:25S. Kolasa2.1081111133G. Felkel1.671164111 WAug 27 · 09:00P. David1.50711115112G. Felkel2.50119911133 LAug 27 · 07:45D. Michna2.0061111113G. Felkel1.73119251 WAug 27 · 06:55A. Grela2.009780G. Felkel1.731111113 WAug 27 · 06:05G. Felkel1.671111711113S. Kolasa2.1095111382 WAug 27 · 04:30G. Felkel1.251111113M. Domin3.752680 WAug 27 · 03:45P. David1.5391111692G. Felkel2.38116711113 WAug 26 · 14:10G. Felkel1.57911114113D. Michna2.2511681182

Event Chatroom

This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.