TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13020323
Played Aug 27Finished
Grzegorz Felkel
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191157111113118
Szymon Kolasa
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:46 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Felkel to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Felkel above · Szymon Kolasa below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 97 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Grzegorz Felkel at 61.1%
97 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Felkel 21–13 Szymon Kolasa Szymon Kolasa has won 13 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:46What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Felkel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-13 in 34
Felkel
Correct
gap of 8 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Felkel 1930 vs Kolasa 1902
Felkel
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Felkel 80% vs Kolasa 40%
Felkel
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Felkel 70% vs Kolasa 40%
Felkel
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Felkel +4 · Kolasa -1
Felkel
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Felkel) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Felkel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFelkel 1.67 / Kolasa 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Felkel)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13020323
Felkel1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 237 of 383
Up 2–0, closes it93% 135 of 145
Up 1–0, closes it79% 175 of 223
Kolasa2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 63 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back35% 30 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back15% 6 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFelkel6wins
AwayKolasa4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFelkel leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFelkel71.4%5 of 7
AwayKolasa66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Felkel7Kolasa3n = 10Felkel took 7 of 10
S2Felkel7Kolasa3n = 10Felkel took 7 of 10
S3Felkel4Kolasa6n = 10Kolasa took 6 of 10
S4Felkel2Kolasa5n = 7Kolasa took 5 of 7
S5Felkel2Kolasa1n = 3Felkel took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFelkelKolasaF − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.739.2+0.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFelkelKolasaBasisWin rate · lifetime725 / 1206 vs 277 / 50560.1%54.9%725 / 1206 vs 277 / 505Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FelkelFelkel 1.67/Kolasa 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Felkel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Felkel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 10:25G. Felkel—1164111S. Kolasa—81111133
WAug 27 · 06:05G. Felkel—1111711113S. Kolasa—95111382
WAug 26 · 10:50G. Felkel—11148133S. Kolasa—81211111
LAug 26 · 03:25G. Felkel—1161371S. Kolasa—131111113
WAug 3 · 11:15G. Felkel—111195113S. Kolasa—95111142
WAug 3 · 03:00G. Felkel—1113113S. Kolasa—51170
WJul 30 · 07:45G. Felkel—1212113S. Kolasa—101060
WJun 17 · 14:10G. Felkel—101115113S. Kolasa—1281361
LJun 17 · 05:15G. Felkel—111110582S. Kolasa—991211113
LMar 30 · 05:05G. Felkel—102100S. Kolasa—1211123
G. Felkel10
LAug 27 · 14:10D. Michna2.2091111113G. Felkel1.61114891WAug 27 · 13:20K. Kolodziej2.5010560G. Felkel1.501211113LAug 27 · 11:15A. Grela1.73121011113G. Felkel2.001012581LAug 27 · 10:25S. Kolasa2.1081111133G. Felkel1.671164111WAug 27 · 09:00P. David1.50711115112G. Felkel2.50119911133LAug 27 · 07:45D. Michna2.0061111113G. Felkel1.73119251WAug 27 · 06:55A. Grela2.009780G. Felkel1.731111113WAug 27 · 04:30G. Felkel1.251111113M. Domin3.752680WAug 27 · 03:45P. David1.5391111692G. Felkel2.38116711113WAug 26 · 14:10G. Felkel1.57911114113D. Michna2.2511681182
S. Kolasa10
LSep 7 · 10:00P. David1.73141711113S. Kolasa2.001219361LSep 7 · 09:20S. Kolasa2.1011760J. Kosowski1.671311113WSep 7 · 08:30S. Kolasa1.4011115113G. Poliniewicz2.75381141WSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591LSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113LSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113LSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830WSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kolasa1.6111811113M. Nowalinski2.20811761WAug 27 · 10:25S. Kolasa2.1081111133G. Felkel1.671164111
Upcoming Matches
G. Felkel
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S. Kolasa
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