TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13020267
Played Aug 27Finished
Szymon Kolasa
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111161141311––
Grzegorz Felkel
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:33 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Felkel to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSzymon Kolasa above · Grzegorz Felkel below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 75 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Grzegorz Felkel at 61.1%
75 points played in total.
H2H Szymon Kolasa 12–21 Grzegorz Felkel Szymon Kolasa has won 12 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Felkel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-21 in 33
Felkel
Wrong
gap of 9 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolasa 1944 vs Felkel 1969
Felkel
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolasa 40% vs Felkel 80%
Felkel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolasa 40% vs Felkel 80%
Felkel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolasa +1 · Felkel +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Felkel) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Felkel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolasa 2.10 / Felkel 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Felkel)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13020267
Kolasa2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 61 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back35% 29 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back16% 6 of 38
Felkel1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite62% won 233 of 376
Up 2–0, closes it93% 131 of 141
Up 1–0, closes it79% 171 of 216
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolasa3wins
AwayFelkel7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFelkel leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolasa50%2 of 4
AwayFelkel83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolasa4Felkel6n = 10Felkel took 6 of 10
S2Kolasa2Felkel8n = 10Felkel took 8 of 10
S3Kolasa6Felkel4n = 10Kolasa took 6 of 10
S4Kolasa4Felkel3n = 7Kolasa took 4 of 7
S5Kolasa1Felkel3n = 4Felkel took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolasaFelkelK − FBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.941.6−2.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolasaFelkelBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 501 vs 732 / 121954.9%60.1%275 / 501 vs 732 / 1219Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FelkelKolasa 2.10/Felkel 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Felkel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolasa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 06:05S. Kolasa—95111382G. Felkel—1111711113
LAug 26 · 10:50S. Kolasa—81211111G. Felkel—11148133
WAug 26 · 03:25S. Kolasa—131111113G. Felkel—1161371
LAug 3 · 11:15S. Kolasa—95111142G. Felkel—111195113
LAug 3 · 03:00S. Kolasa—51170G. Felkel—1113113
LJul 30 · 07:45S. Kolasa—101060G. Felkel—1212113
LJun 17 · 14:10S. Kolasa—1281361G. Felkel—101115113
WJun 17 · 05:15S. Kolasa—991211113G. Felkel—111110582
WMar 30 · 05:05S. Kolasa—1211123G. Felkel—102100
LMar 29 · 15:10S. Kolasa—11511672G. Felkel—911911113
S. Kolasa10
LSep 7 · 10:00P. David1.73141711113S. Kolasa2.001219361LSep 7 · 09:20S. Kolasa2.1011760J. Kosowski1.671311113WSep 7 · 08:30S. Kolasa1.4011115113G. Poliniewicz2.75381141WSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591LSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113LSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113LSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830WSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kolasa1.6111811113M. Nowalinski2.20811761LSep 6 · 11:40S. Kolasa1.40121211592S. Sporek2.751014611113
G. Felkel10
LAug 27 · 14:10D. Michna2.2091111113G. Felkel1.61114891WAug 27 · 13:20K. Kolodziej2.5010560G. Felkel1.501211113LAug 27 · 11:15A. Grela1.73121011113G. Felkel2.001012581WAug 27 · 09:00P. David1.50711115112G. Felkel2.50119911133LAug 27 · 07:45D. Michna2.0061111113G. Felkel1.73119251WAug 27 · 06:55A. Grela2.009780G. Felkel1.731111113WAug 27 · 06:05G. Felkel1.671111711113S. Kolasa2.1095111382WAug 27 · 04:30G. Felkel1.251111113M. Domin3.752680WAug 27 · 03:45P. David1.5391111692G. Felkel2.38116711113WAug 26 · 14:10G. Felkel1.57911114113D. Michna2.2511681182
Upcoming Matches
S. Kolasa
G. Felkel
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.