TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13020368
Played Aug 27Finished
Krystian Kolodziej
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012511611––––
Grzegorz Felkel
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:54 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Felkel to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrystian Kolodziej above · Grzegorz Felkel below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 55 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Grzegorz Felkel at 66.9%
55 points played in total.
H2H Krystian Kolodziej 5–12 Grzegorz Felkel Krystian Kolodziej has won 5 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:54What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Felkel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-12 in 17
Felkel
Correct
gap of 7 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolodziej 1780 vs Felkel 1930
Felkel
Correct
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolodziej 40% vs Felkel 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolodziej 30% vs Felkel 70%
Felkel
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolodziej -3 · Felkel -2
Kolodziej
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Felkel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Felkel form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolodziej 2.50 / Felkel 1.50
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Felkel)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13020368
Kolodziej2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 67 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back23% 23 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Felkel1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 233 of 376
Up 2–0, closes it93% 131 of 141
Up 1–0, closes it79% 171 of 216
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolodziej3wins
AwayFelkel7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFelkel leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolodziej25%1 of 4
AwayFelkel66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolodziej4Felkel6n = 10Felkel took 6 of 10
S2Kolodziej6Felkel4n = 10Kolodziej took 6 of 10
S3Kolodziej4Felkel6n = 10Felkel took 6 of 10
S4Kolodziej2Felkel7n = 9Felkel took 7 of 9
S5Kolodziej2Felkel3n = 5Felkel took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolodziejFelkelK − FBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.242.3−5.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolodziejFelkelBasisWin rate · lifetime1303 / 1928 vs 730 / 121867.6%59.9%1303 / 1928 vs 730 / 1218Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FelkelKolodziej 2.50/Felkel 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Felkel · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Felkel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 23 · 10:50K. Kolodziej—911817123G. Felkel—1151115102
LJul 13 · 09:20K. Kolodziej—1211841G. Felkel—101311113
LJul 12 · 14:10K. Kolodziej—11114272G. Felkel—791111113
WJul 8 · 11:40K. Kolodziej—81111113G. Felkel—114721
LJun 29 · 14:10K. Kolodziej—5111161G. Felkel—11813113
WAug 6 · 19:00K. Kolodziej—1111107113G. Felkel—59121172
LJun 11 · 15:55K. Kolodziej—9450G. Felkel—1111113
LMay 26 · 15:55K. Kolodziej—91111632G. Felkel—117811113
LMay 19 · 17:00K. Kolodziej—11511652G. Felkel—411711113
LMay 10 · 18:40K. Kolodziej—461141G. Felkel—11118113
K. Kolodziej10
WSep 7 · 11:40P. David1.3061381162K. Kolodziej3.401111115113LSep 7 · 10:50K. Kolodziej3.259780J. Kosowski1.331111113LSep 7 · 09:40K. Kolodziej4.5011781192J. Folwarski1.17511117113LSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592WSep 4 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski2.63471291K. Kolodziej1.44111110113WSep 4 · 19:15K. Kolodziej1.361311113M. Rutkowski3.0011610WSep 4 · 17:40K. Kolodziej1.1451111113M. Kolek5.00113921WSep 4 · 16:55T. Filbrandt2.63116110K. Kolodziej1.441311133WSep 4 · 15:45A. Grela1.61116100K. Kolodziej2.201311123WSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752
G. Felkel10
LAug 27 · 14:10D. Michna2.2091111113G. Felkel1.61114891LAug 27 · 11:15A. Grela1.73121011113G. Felkel2.001012581LAug 27 · 10:25S. Kolasa2.1081111133G. Felkel1.671164111WAug 27 · 09:00P. David1.50711115112G. Felkel2.50119911133LAug 27 · 07:45D. Michna2.0061111113G. Felkel1.73119251WAug 27 · 06:55A. Grela2.009780G. Felkel1.731111113WAug 27 · 06:05G. Felkel1.671111711113S. Kolasa2.1095111382WAug 27 · 04:30G. Felkel1.251111113M. Domin3.752680WAug 27 · 03:45P. David1.5391111692G. Felkel2.38116711113WAug 26 · 14:10G. Felkel1.57911114113D. Michna2.2511681182
Upcoming Matches
K. Kolodziej
Sep 7 · 12:30K. Kolodziej2.00S. Kolasa1.73—Sep 7 · 14:10K. Kolodziej2.38J. Zandecki1.53—Sep 8 · 09:00K. Kolodziej2.20T. Spanik1.61—Sep 8 · 10:25K. Kolodziej2.50M. Olejnik1.50—Sep 8 · 11:15K. Kolodziej3.25J. Kosowski1.33—Sep 8 · 13:20K. Kolodziej3.25A. Wiecek1.33—Sep 8 · 14:10K. Kolodziej1.91K. Wloczko1.80—
G. Felkel
Nothing scheduled
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