TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103019
Played Sep 10Finished
Krzysztof Wloczko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111210611311––
Dawid Michna
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:38 and never touched — 57.2% is still 57.2%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Wloczko to win
57.2%
57.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrzysztof Wloczko above · Dawid Michna below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 69 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Krzysztof Wloczko at 57.2%
69 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Wloczko 22–24 Dawid Michna Krzysztof Wloczko has won 22 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:38What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Michna
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-24 in 46
Michna
Correct
gap of 2 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloczko 1895 vs Michna 1943
Michna
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloczko 60% vs Michna 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloczko 60% vs Michna 40%
Wloczko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloczko -1 · Michna +3
Michna
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Michna) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloczko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloczko 2.10 / Michna 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Michna)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13103019
Wloczko2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 155 of 392
Down 0–1, comes back18% 38 of 215
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 131
Michna1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 82 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it77% 63 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloczko4wins
AwayMichna6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMichna leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloczko100%3 of 3
AwayMichna85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloczko3Michna7n = 10Michna took 7 of 10
S2Wloczko7Michna3n = 10Wloczko took 7 of 10
S3Wloczko8Michna2n = 10Wloczko took 8 of 10
S4Wloczko0Michna6n = 6Michna took 6 of 6
S5Wloczko1Michna2n = 3Michna took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloczkoMichnaW − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.336.8−1.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloczkoMichnaBasisWin rate · lifetime947 / 1810 vs 532 / 97852.3%54.4%947 / 1810 vs 532 / 978Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.339.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichnaWloczko 2.10/Michna 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Michna · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Michna won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 07:20K. Wloczko—1111113D. Michna—7970
LJun 18 · 10:25K. Wloczko—51111572D. Michna—119611113
LApr 24 · 15:10K. Wloczko—9990D. Michna—1111113
LMar 9 · 05:15K. Wloczko—1211551D. Michna—14511113
WMar 6 · 06:15K. Wloczko—1112113D. Michna—91050
LMar 5 · 07:35K. Wloczko—91111552D. Michna—118811113
WMar 4 · 10:30K. Wloczko—1212113D. Michna—101060
LMar 4 · 08:10K. Wloczko—761131D. Michna—11115113
WFeb 10 · 11:20K. Wloczko—911117113D. Michna—11691172
LFeb 10 · 06:45K. Wloczko—961191D. Michna—11119113
K. Wloczko10
LSep 9 · 08:05A. Grela1.531111133K. Wloczko2.3887110WSep 9 · 07:20T. Spanik1.7381441282K. Wloczko2.0011121110113WSep 9 · 05:15G. Felkel1.36512111092K. Wloczko3.001110912113WSep 9 · 04:30D. Michna1.6196131172K. Wloczko2.201111119113LSep 9 · 03:00A. Wiecek1.33111178143K. Wloczko3.25971111122WSep 8 · 14:10K. Wloczko1.8071111113K. Kolodziej1.91119991LSep 8 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.361211113K. Wloczko3.0010980LSep 8 · 11:40T. Spanik1.8013116123K. Wloczko1.9111811101WSep 8 · 10:50K. Wloczko2.7511117113A. Wiecek1.40981181WSep 8 · 09:40K. Wloczko2.3871112113M. Olejnik1.531141081
D. Michna10
WSep 9 · 14:35D. Michna2.0011911113A. Grela1.73711951WSep 9 · 12:55D. Michna1.7311117113M. Jadczyk2.00871171WSep 9 · 11:40D. Michna1.83118119113K. Kolodziej1.8361191152LSep 9 · 10:00D. Michna2.10411411112A. Wiecek1.67114119133LSep 9 · 09:00D. Michna2.25111111562G. Felkel1.57861311113WSep 9 · 07:45G. Felkel1.579780D. Michna2.251111113LSep 9 · 06:55A. Wiecek1.6191111113D. Michna2.20118591LSep 9 · 06:05D. Michna1.731110431T. Spanik2.0071211113LSep 9 · 04:30D. Michna1.6196131172K. Wloczko2.201111119113LSep 9 · 03:45A. Grela1.67981111113D. Michna2.1011118952
Upcoming Matches
K. Wloczko
Sep 10 · 05:30K. Wloczko3.00G. Felkel1.36—Sep 10 · 06:35K. Wloczko2.00M. Miastowski1.73—Sep 10 · 07:45K. Wloczko2.50M. Jadczyk1.50—Sep 10 · 09:00K. Wloczko3.00G. Felkel1.36—Sep 10 · 10:00K. Wloczko2.38A. Grela1.53—Sep 10 · 11:40K. Wloczko2.10D. Michna1.67—Sep 10 · 12:55K. Wloczko2.50M. Jadczyk1.50—Sep 10 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.10K. Kolodziej1.67—
D. Michna
Sep 10 · 04:40D. Michna1.83M. Miastowski1.83—Sep 10 · 06:15D. Michna2.10M. Jadczyk1.67—Sep 10 · 07:25D. Michna2.00G. Felkel1.73—Sep 10 · 08:35D. Michna2.10A. Grela1.67—Sep 10 · 09:40D. Michna2.10M. Jadczyk1.67—Sep 10 · 10:50D. Michna1.83K. Kolodziej1.83—Sep 10 · 11:40D. Michna1.67K. Wloczko2.10—Sep 10 · 12:30D. Michna2.10A. Grela1.67—Sep 10 · 14:10D. Michna2.00G. Felkel1.73—
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