TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103327
Played Sep 10Finished
Krzysztof Wloczko
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1513116411118––
Marcin Jadczyk
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:48 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeMarcin Jadczyk to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrzysztof Wloczko above · Marcin Jadczyk below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 79 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Marcin Jadczyk at 56.7%
79 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Wloczko 27–49 Marcin Jadczyk Krzysztof Wloczko has won 27 of their 76 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:48What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Jadczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-49 in 76
Jadczyk
Wrong
gap of 22 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloczko 1895 vs Jadczyk 1837
Wloczko
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloczko 40% vs Jadczyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloczko 50% vs Jadczyk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloczko +1 · Jadczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Jadczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloczko 2.50 / Jadczyk 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Jadczyk)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13103327
Wloczko2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 158 of 392
Down 0–1, comes back18% 38 of 213
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 129
Jadczyk1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 430 of 677
Up 2–0, closes it98% 215 of 219
Up 1–0, closes it83% 338 of 406
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloczko5wins
AwayJadczyk5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloczko60%3 of 5
AwayJadczyk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloczko5Jadczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Wloczko5Jadczyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Wloczko4Jadczyk6n = 10Jadczyk took 6 of 10
S4Wloczko3Jadczyk6n = 9Jadczyk took 6 of 9
S5Wloczko3Jadczyk1n = 4Wloczko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloczkoJadczykW − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.942.2−6.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloczkoJadczykBasisWin rate · lifetime949 / 1814 vs 978 / 166952.3%58.6%949 / 1814 vs 978 / 1669Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadczykWloczko 2.50/Jadczyk 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Jadczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wloczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 07:45K. Wloczko—15114113M. Jadczyk—1361181
LSep 3 · 04:30K. Wloczko—116961M. Jadczyk—51111113
LSep 2 · 10:25K. Wloczko—611561M. Jadczyk—11911113
WSep 2 · 04:30K. Wloczko—911116113M. Jadczyk—11641182
WAug 31 · 10:25K. Wloczko—125116163M. Jadczyk—1011911142
WAug 31 · 04:30K. Wloczko—12711113M. Jadczyk—1011671
LAug 28 · 11:40K. Wloczko—5430M. Jadczyk—1111113
LAug 24 · 04:30K. Wloczko—61131202M. Jadczyk—1191110113
LAug 23 · 04:30K. Wloczko—137921M. Jadczyk—111111113
WAug 21 · 07:45K. Wloczko—511125113M. Jadczyk—116101182
K. Wloczko10
LSep 10 · 04:00A. Grela1.53131111113K. Wloczko2.38159941LSep 10 · 03:20K. Wloczko2.10512631D. Michna1.67111011113LSep 9 · 08:05A. Grela1.531111133K. Wloczko2.3887110WSep 9 · 07:20T. Spanik1.7381441282K. Wloczko2.0011121110113WSep 9 · 05:15G. Felkel1.36512111092K. Wloczko3.001110912113WSep 9 · 04:30D. Michna1.6196131172K. Wloczko2.201111119113LSep 9 · 03:00A. Wiecek1.33111178143K. Wloczko3.25971111122WSep 8 · 14:10K. Wloczko1.8071111113K. Kolodziej1.91119991LSep 8 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.361211113K. Wloczko3.0010980LSep 8 · 11:40T. Spanik1.8013116123K. Wloczko1.9111811101
M. Jadczyk10
WSep 10 · 07:00A. Grela1.8371111672M. Jadczyk1.83114811113LSep 10 · 06:15M. Jadczyk1.6771111842D. Michna2.10117611113LSep 10 · 04:20M. Jadczyk2.20511114132G. Felkel1.61116911153WSep 10 · 03:40M. Miastowski2.10881181M. Jadczyk1.6711112113LSep 9 · 13:45A. Wiecek2.0011134113M. Jadczyk1.739111171LSep 9 · 12:55D. Michna1.7311117113M. Jadczyk2.00871171WSep 9 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.73119711113A. Grela2.0021111482WSep 9 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.9161111113G. Felkel1.80119751LSep 9 · 09:40K. Kolodziej2.751111113M. Jadczyk1.404960LSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871
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