TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103688
Played Sep 10Finished
Krzysztof Wloczko
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
51111715139111412
Grzegorz Felkel
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:27 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Felkel to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrzysztof Wloczko above · Grzegorz Felkel below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 108 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Grzegorz Felkel at 72.3%
108 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Wloczko 8–42 Grzegorz Felkel Krzysztof Wloczko has won 8 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:27What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Felkel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-42 in 50
Felkel
Wrong
gap of 34 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloczko 1872 vs Felkel 1903
Felkel
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloczko 40% vs Felkel 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloczko 40% vs Felkel 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloczko -3 · Felkel +1
Wloczko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Felkel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Felkel form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloczko 3.00 / Felkel 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Felkel)+3.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13103688
Wloczko3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 158 of 392
Down 0–1, comes back18% 38 of 213
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 129
Felkel1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 227 of 371
Up 2–0, closes it93% 126 of 136
Up 1–0, closes it78% 165 of 212
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloczko2wins
AwayFelkel8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderFelkel leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloczko0%0 of 3
AwayFelkel71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloczko3Felkel7n = 10Felkel took 7 of 10
S2Wloczko2Felkel8n = 10Felkel took 8 of 10
S3Wloczko4Felkel6n = 10Felkel took 6 of 10
S4Wloczko3Felkel5n = 8Felkel took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloczkoFelkelW − FBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.539.9−5.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloczkoFelkelBasisWin rate · lifetime947 / 1812 vs 706 / 117852.3%59.9%947 / 1812 vs 706 / 1178Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FelkelWloczko 3.00/Felkel 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.3%
Felkel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wloczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 12:35K. Wloczko—711681G. Felkel—11711113
LAug 19 · 05:15K. Wloczko—1181071G. Felkel—91112113
LJul 8 · 14:10K. Wloczko—6860G. Felkel—1111113
WJul 8 · 04:55K. Wloczko—31211113G. Felkel—1110831
LJun 29 · 03:25K. Wloczko—741171G. Felkel—11115113
LJun 22 · 14:10K. Wloczko—1195111G. Felkel—71111133
LJun 22 · 04:10K. Wloczko—861131G. Felkel—11118113
WJun 16 · 03:25K. Wloczko—1181111113G. Felkel—13117772
LMay 18 · 13:40K. Wloczko—710130G. Felkel—1112153
LMar 16 · 06:05K. Wloczko—11871182G. Felkel—611118113
K. Wloczko10
LSep 10 · 04:00A. Grela1.53131111113K. Wloczko2.38159941LSep 10 · 03:20K. Wloczko2.10512631D. Michna1.67111011113LSep 9 · 08:05A. Grela1.531111133K. Wloczko2.3887110WSep 9 · 07:20T. Spanik1.7381441282K. Wloczko2.0011121110113WSep 9 · 05:15G. Felkel1.36512111092K. Wloczko3.001110912113WSep 9 · 04:30D. Michna1.6196131172K. Wloczko2.201111119113LSep 9 · 03:00A. Wiecek1.33111178143K. Wloczko3.25971111122WSep 8 · 14:10K. Wloczko1.8071111113K. Kolodziej1.91119991LSep 8 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.361211113K. Wloczko3.0010980LSep 8 · 11:40T. Spanik1.8013116123K. Wloczko1.9111811101
G. Felkel10
WSep 10 · 04:20M. Jadczyk2.20511114132G. Felkel1.61116911153WSep 10 · 03:00A. Grela2.00101141292G. Felkel1.731271110113LSep 9 · 14:10K. Kolodziej2.251111123G. Felkel1.5788100LSep 9 · 13:20A. Grela1.836111111143G. Felkel1.83116135122WSep 9 · 11:15A. Wiecek1.739117121G. Felkel2.0011711143LSep 9 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.9161111113G. Felkel1.80119751WSep 9 · 09:00D. Michna2.25111111562G. Felkel1.57861311113LSep 9 · 07:45G. Felkel1.579780D. Michna2.251111113LSep 9 · 06:30G. Felkel1.7311911682A. Grela2.00711411113LSep 9 · 05:15G. Felkel1.36512111092K. Wloczko3.001110912113
Upcoming Matches
K. Wloczko
Sep 10 · 06:35K. Wloczko2.00M. Miastowski1.73—Sep 10 · 07:45K. Wloczko2.50M. Jadczyk1.50—Sep 10 · 09:00K. Wloczko3.00G. Felkel1.36—Sep 10 · 10:00K. Wloczko2.38A. Grela1.53—Sep 10 · 11:40K. Wloczko1.91D. Michna1.80—Sep 10 · 12:55K. Wloczko2.50M. Jadczyk1.50—Sep 10 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.10K. Kolodziej1.67—
G. Felkel
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