TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13101855
Played Sep 9Finished
Tibor Spanik
Home
1.70
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118511211811––
Josef Braun
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:24 and never touched — 55.0% is still 55.0%
Graded at full timeTibor Spanik to win
55.0%
55.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
118511211811––
H2H Tibor Spanik 3–4 Josef Braun Tibor Spanik has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:24What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Spanik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Spanik 1877 vs Braun 1770
Spanik
Wrong
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Spanik 40% vs Braun 20%
Spanik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Spanik 50% vs Braun 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Spanik +2 · Braun -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Spanik) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Braun form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSpanik 1.70 / Braun 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Spanik)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13101855
Spanik1.70
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 151 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it92% 73 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it76% 108 of 143
Braun2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 84 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back23% 25 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSpanik3wins
AwayBraun4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderBraun leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSpanik75%3 of 4
AwayBraun100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Spanik4Braun3n = 7Spanik took 4 of 7
S2Spanik4Braun3n = 7Spanik took 4 of 7
S3Spanik2Braun5n = 7Braun took 5 of 7
S4Spanik2Braun3n = 5Braun took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricSpanikBraunS − BBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match34.736.7−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSpanikBraunBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 422 vs 505 / 96855.9%52.2%236 / 422 vs 505 / 968Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SpanikSpanik 1.70/Braun 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Spanik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Braun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 6 · 14:35T. Spanik—119511113J. Braun—31111852
LMay 24 · 12:50T. Spanik—951481J. Braun—111112113
LMay 24 · 05:50T. Spanik—9530J. Braun—1111113
LApr 25 · 11:10T. Spanik—11116642J. Braun—361111113
WApr 25 · 06:40T. Spanik—1111113J. Braun—8970
LMar 23 · 13:00T. Spanik—1111171J. Braun—11813113
WMar 23 · 10:35T. Spanik—11118123J. Braun—7411101
T. Spanik10
WSep 9 · 11:20T. Spanik1.2491111113K. Wisniewski3.45116891WSep 9 · 10:05A. Daniel2.608870T. Spanik1.441111113LSep 9 · 09:20T. Spanik1.54116861M. Benes2.2561111113LSep 9 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.611114116113T. Spanik2.2091671162LSep 9 · 07:20T. Spanik1.7381441282K. Wloczko2.0011121110113WSep 9 · 06:05D. Michna1.731110431T. Spanik2.0071211113LSep 9 · 04:55A. Grela1.80111213113T. Spanik1.916141181LSep 9 · 03:25G. Felkel1.917141011113T. Spanik1.80111212632WSep 8 · 14:35T. Spanik1.73101111113A. Wiecek2.00129781WSep 8 · 12:55T. Spanik1.9111118143M. Olejnik1.804611121
J. Braun10
LSep 9 · 11:45A. Daniel2.2561211123J. Braun1.5411105101LSep 9 · 10:55J. Braun1.856911101M. Benes1.8011115123WSep 9 · 09:45J. Braun1.54128611113J. Kuzmicz2.25101111792LSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751LSep 6 · 13:20J. Braun1.404111271M. Domin2.7511514113WSep 6 · 12:05M. Nowalinski2.50115991J. Braun1.5021111113LSep 6 · 10:50S. Sporek2.75811711113J. Braun1.4011911562WSep 6 · 09:20G. Adamiak2.75911961J. Braun1.4011911113WSep 6 · 08:05J. Braun1.36111111113G. Poliniewicz3.00139741LSep 6 · 06:30M. Domin2.75111113113J. Braun1.405131161
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