TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13099489
Played Sep 9Finished
Artur Daniel
Home
2.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811711––––
Tibor Spanik
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTibor Spanik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
811811711––––
H2H Artur Daniel 6–4 Tibor Spanik Tibor Spanik has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:29What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (64%)
Spanik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Daniel
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Daniel 1763 vs Spanik 1863
Spanik
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Daniel 60% vs Spanik 20%
Daniel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Daniel 60% vs Spanik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Daniel +2 · Spanik -3
Spanik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Spanik) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Spanik form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDaniel 2.60 / Spanik 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Spanik)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13099489
Daniel2.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 81 of 232
Down 0–1, comes back21% 28 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 66
Spanik1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 151 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it92% 73 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it76% 108 of 143
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDaniel6wins
AwaySpanik4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderDaniel leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDaniel75%3 of 4
AwaySpanik50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Daniel4Spanik6n = 10Spanik took 6 of 10
S2Daniel7Spanik3n = 10Daniel took 7 of 10
S3Daniel5Spanik5n = 10split evenly
S4Daniel3Spanik5n = 8Spanik took 5 of 8
S5Daniel4Spanik2n = 6Daniel took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanielSpanikD − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.741.8−1.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanielSpanikBasisWin rate · lifetime780 / 1466 vs 234 / 42053.2%55.7%780 / 1466 vs 234 / 420Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SpanikDaniel 2.60/Spanik 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.8%
Spanik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Spanik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 11:15A. Daniel—11116352T. Spanik—691111113
WAug 30 · 07:20A. Daniel—1113610113T. Spanik—611111242
LJun 20 · 06:05A. Daniel—711716102T. Spanik—1161114123
WJun 20 · 03:45A. Daniel—2111111113T. Spanik—11481392
WJun 19 · 15:45A. Daniel—1112113T. Spanik—61070
LApr 25 · 14:05A. Daniel—91040T. Spanik—1112113
WApr 25 · 05:50A. Daniel—11611113T. Spanik—511691
LApr 11 · 10:25A. Daniel—411451T. Spanik—11911113
WApr 11 · 08:00A. Daniel—911126143T. Spanik—1191011122
WApr 10 · 10:00A. Daniel—1071112113T. Spanik—121151062
A. Daniel10
WSep 9 · 09:00A. Daniel1.5311116113K. Wisniewski2.23261161WSep 8 · 19:40A. Daniel1.61116136113K. Glazowski2.20911111192LSep 8 · 18:30A. Daniel1.33851171L. Pietraszko3.2511117113LSep 8 · 17:20A. Daniel1.611198121M. Rutkowski2.2081111143WSep 8 · 16:05K. Kostyk2.75881161A. Daniel1.4011117113WSep 8 · 15:25A. Daniel1.611181111113K. Kapik2.2013119452LSep 8 · 14:35K. Glazowski1.86101111113A. Daniel1.80128581WSep 8 · 13:25A. Daniel1.5441111113K. Wisniewski2.22116761LSep 8 · 12:10M. Sklensky1.811211113A. Daniel1.8310970WSep 8 · 10:55J. Kuzmicz1.9011711792A. Daniel1.76911711113
T. Spanik10
LSep 9 · 09:20T. Spanik1.54116861M. Benes2.2561111113LSep 9 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.611114116113T. Spanik2.2091671162LSep 9 · 07:20T. Spanik1.7381441282K. Wloczko2.0011121110113WSep 9 · 06:05D. Michna1.731110431T. Spanik2.0071211113LSep 9 · 04:55A. Grela1.80111213113T. Spanik1.916141181LSep 9 · 03:25G. Felkel1.917141011113T. Spanik1.80111212632WSep 8 · 14:35T. Spanik1.73101111113A. Wiecek2.00129781WSep 8 · 12:55T. Spanik1.9111118143M. Olejnik1.804611121WSep 8 · 11:40T. Spanik1.8013116123K. Wloczko1.9111811101WSep 8 · 10:00T. Spanik2.201111113J. Kosowski1.619850
Upcoming Matches
A. Daniel
Sep 9 · 11:45A. Daniel2.25J. Braun1.54—Sep 9 · 13:00A. Daniel1.83J. Kuzmicz1.86—Sep 9 · 14:35A. Daniel2.10M. Benes1.60—Sep 9 · 15:25A. Daniel1.09J. Krawczyk5.40—Sep 9 · 16:05A. Daniel1.37J. Chmielowski2.70—Sep 9 · 17:20A. Daniel2.26J. Braun1.52—Sep 9 · 18:30A. Daniel1.48M. Olbrycht2.35—Sep 9 · 19:40A. Daniel2.50M. Benes1.50—
T. Spanik
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.