TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13099485
Played Sep 9Finished
Artur Daniel
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116711118119––
Jakub Krawczyk
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Krawczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingArtur Daniel above · Jakub Krawczyk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Krawczyk at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Artur Daniel 1–1 Jakub Krawczyk Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:30What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Daniel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Daniel 1745 vs Krawczyk 1355
Daniel
Correct
both rated, 390 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Daniel 40% vs Krawczyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Daniel 50% vs Krawczyk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Daniel -2 · Krawczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Daniel) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krawczyk form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDaniel 1.28 / Krawczyk 3.50
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Daniel)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13099485
Daniel1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 210 of 345
Up 2–0, closes it94% 104 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it76% 159 of 210
Krawczyk3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 9 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back19% 3 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDaniel1wins
AwayKrawczyk1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricDanielKrawczykD − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match39.036.5+2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanielKrawczykBasisWin rate · lifetime781 / 1470 vs 51 / 13453.1%38.1%781 / 1470 vs 51 / 134Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanielDaniel 1.28/Krawczyk 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Daniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Daniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WApr 22 · 19:45A. Daniel—11911113J. Krawczyk—611991
LJan 23 · 18:50A. Daniel—118891J. Krawczyk—51111113
A. Daniel10
LSep 9 · 14:35A. Daniel2.10101231142M. Benes1.601210117113LSep 9 · 13:00A. Daniel1.83112661J. Kuzmicz1.8661111113WSep 9 · 11:45A. Daniel2.2561211123J. Braun1.5411105101LSep 9 · 10:05A. Daniel2.608870T. Spanik1.441111113WSep 9 · 09:00A. Daniel1.5311116113K. Wisniewski2.23261161WSep 8 · 19:40A. Daniel1.61116136113K. Glazowski2.20911111192LSep 8 · 18:30A. Daniel1.33851171L. Pietraszko3.2511117113LSep 8 · 17:20A. Daniel1.611198121M. Rutkowski2.2081111143WSep 8 · 16:05K. Kostyk2.75881161A. Daniel1.4011117113WSep 8 · 15:25A. Daniel1.611181111113K. Kapik2.2013119452
J. Krawczyk10
WSep 9 · 13:55M. Zwolinski2.6513890J. Krawczyk1.421511113LSep 9 · 13:05A. Lilien1.95811119113J. Krawczyk1.7511581162LSep 9 · 12:15J. Krawczyk2.1515811662P. Blocho1.601311611113WSep 9 · 10:35J. Krawczyk1.751111113A. Szoltysek1.959530LSep 9 · 09:50M. Minda1.50611116113J. Krawczyk2.3111431152WJun 18 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk2.5591181162J. Krawczyk1.43118119113LJun 18 · 18:55K. Sulkowski1.9711119113J. Krawczyk1.72961161LJun 18 · 18:10J. Krawczyk1.28611127112J. Rolak3.301171011133WJun 18 · 16:35J. Krawczyk1.4661113113B. Wisniewski2.501191131WJun 18 · 15:50K. Kotyl2.389640J. Krawczyk1.491111113
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