TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13101852
Played Sep 9Finished
Aleksander Lilien
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811115118911116
Jakub Krawczyk
Away
1.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAleksander Lilien to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
811115118911116
H2H Aleksander Lilien 1–1 Jakub Krawczyk Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:23What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Krawczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lilien 1484 vs Krawczyk 1353
Lilien
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lilien 100% vs Krawczyk 40%
Lilien
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lilien 90% vs Krawczyk 50%
Lilien
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lilien +5 · Krawczyk -1
Lilien
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krawczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krawczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLilien 1.95 / Krawczyk 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krawczyk)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13101852
Lilien1.95
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 96 of 264
Down 0–1, comes back18% 26 of 147
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 93
Krawczyk1.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite35% won 8 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it30% 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLilien1wins
AwayKrawczyk1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricLilienKrawczykL − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match36.039.5−3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLilienKrawczykBasisWin rate · lifetime836 / 1544 vs 50 / 13254.2%37.9%836 / 1544 vs 50 / 132Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrawczykLilien 1.95/Krawczyk 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krawczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lilien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJan 6 · 19:30A. Lilien—31111113J. Krawczyk—118971
LFeb 20 · 13:40A. Lilien—7711111J. Krawczyk—11119133
A. Lilien10
WSep 9 · 11:50A. Lilien2.00151113113M. Minda1.7013131171WSep 9 · 10:10A. Lilien1.27141111133M. Zwolinski3.351679111WSep 9 · 09:00A. Lilien1.44111110113A. Szoltysek2.50881281WSep 9 · 07:40B. Wisniewski3.156790A. Lilien1.301111113WSep 9 · 06:55M. Zwolinski3.3581161152A. Lilien1.27116112113LSep 9 · 06:05A. Lilien1.501111891K. Sulkowski2.4013111113WSep 9 · 04:30A. Lilien1.441111113A. Szoltysek2.509890WSep 9 · 03:50M. Lukaszewski3.30461131A. Lilien1.2711119113WSep 8 · 14:20A. Lilien1.5711119113A. Myszewski2.20851191WSep 8 · 12:40J. Glanowski1.861175111A. Lilien1.8371111133
J. Krawczyk10
LSep 9 · 12:15J. Krawczyk2.1515811662P. Blocho1.601311611113WSep 9 · 10:35J. Krawczyk1.751111113A. Szoltysek1.959530LSep 9 · 09:50M. Minda1.50611116113J. Krawczyk2.3111431152WJun 18 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk2.5591181162J. Krawczyk1.43118119113LJun 18 · 18:55K. Sulkowski1.9711119113J. Krawczyk1.72961161LJun 18 · 18:10J. Krawczyk1.28611127112J. Rolak3.301171011133WJun 18 · 16:35J. Krawczyk1.4661113113B. Wisniewski2.501191131WJun 18 · 15:50K. Kotyl2.389640J. Krawczyk1.491111113WJun 18 · 14:40F. Kujawa2.35114551J. Krawczyk1.5491111113LJun 18 · 13:30J. Krawczyk1.80117591M. Kolek1.9071111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Lilien
J. Krawczyk
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.