TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13100985
Played Sep 9Finished
Bartlomiej Wisniewski
Home
3.15
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711911––––
Aleksander Lilien
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:28 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeAleksander Lilien to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
611711911––––
H2H Bartlomiej Wisniewski 1–8 Aleksander Lilien Bartlomiej Wisniewski has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:28What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (71%)
Lilien
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-8 in 9
Lilien
Correct
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1258 vs Lilien 1484
Lilien
Correct
both rated, 226 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 60% vs Lilien 80%
Lilien
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 50% vs Lilien 70%
Lilien
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski -1 · Lilien +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Lilien) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (32%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 3.15 / Lilien 1.30
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Lilien)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13100985
Wisniewski3.15
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 185 of 467
Down 0–1, comes back15% 40 of 262
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 140
Lilien1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 259 of 437
Up 2–0, closes it96% 133 of 138
Up 1–0, closes it78% 196 of 253
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeWisniewski1wins
AwayLilien8wins
2 of 9 to a deciderLilien leads 8–1, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewski20%1 of 5
AwayLilien100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski5Lilien4n = 9Wisniewski took 5 of 9
S2Wisniewski4Lilien5n = 9Lilien took 5 of 9
S3Wisniewski2Lilien7n = 9Lilien took 7 of 9
S4Wisniewski0Lilien6n = 6Lilien took 6 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away444%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricWisniewskiLilienW − LBasisWins18−7in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match32.140.2−8.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiLilienBasisWin rate · lifetime899 / 1875 vs 836 / 154448%54.2%899 / 1875 vs 836 / 1544Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LilienWisniewski 3.15/Lilien 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.2%
Lilien · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lilien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 9 · 07:40B. Wisniewski—6790A. Lilien—1111113
LAug 18 · 06:05B. Wisniewski—1213121062A. Lilien—10151012113
LJun 11 · 10:55B. Wisniewski—411471A. Lilien—11711113
LJun 10 · 09:00B. Wisniewski—211471A. Lilien—11511113
LJan 27 · 11:15B. Wisniewski—1111691A. Lilien—91311113
LJan 20 · 12:20B. Wisniewski—6340A. Lilien—1111113
WJan 6 · 10:20B. Wisniewski—1111113A. Lilien—8990
LOct 17 · 14:15B. Wisniewski—11117101A. Lilien—61311123
LSep 15 · 11:45B. Wisniewski—11114972A. Lilien—781111113
B. Wisniewski10
LSep 10 · 07:50B. Wisniewski2.75114581M. Misiak1.4071111113LSep 10 · 06:50B. Wisniewski2.85117381J. Glanowski1.3581111113LSep 10 · 05:50B. Wisniewski1.9571141182D. Wrobel1.75117117113WSep 10 · 04:05K. Klocek1.755560B. Wisniewski1.901111113WSep 10 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.10119911113K. Sulkowski1.6591111872LSep 9 · 06:30B. Wisniewski1.7398100M. Lukaszewski1.911111123WSep 9 · 05:15B. Wisniewski2.1661111143A. Szoltysek1.571168121LSep 9 · 04:10M. Zwolinski1.8011119113B. Wisniewski1.80761181WSep 9 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.101211113K. Sulkowski1.6510990WSep 7 · 07:40B. Czerwinski1.40119871B. Wisniewski2.7541111113
A. Lilien10
LSep 9 · 14:40A. Lilien1.751110981P. Blocho1.9561211113WSep 9 · 13:05A. Lilien1.95811119113J. Krawczyk1.7511581162WSep 9 · 11:50A. Lilien2.00151113113M. Minda1.7013131171WSep 9 · 10:10A. Lilien1.27141111133M. Zwolinski3.351679111WSep 9 · 09:00A. Lilien1.44111110113A. Szoltysek2.50881281WSep 9 · 06:55M. Zwolinski3.3581161152A. Lilien1.27116112113LSep 9 · 06:05A. Lilien1.501111891K. Sulkowski2.4013111113WSep 9 · 04:30A. Lilien1.441111113A. Szoltysek2.509890WSep 9 · 03:50M. Lukaszewski3.30461131A. Lilien1.2711119113WSep 8 · 14:20A. Lilien1.5711119113A. Myszewski2.20851191
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