TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13106287
Played Sep 10Finished
Bartlomiej Wisniewski
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117411511811––
Mateusz Misiak
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Misiak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
117411511811––
H2H Bartlomiej Wisniewski 4–5 Mateusz Misiak Bartlomiej Wisniewski has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:54What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Misiak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1291 vs Misiak 1349
Misiak
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 40% vs Misiak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 50% vs Misiak 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski -2 · Misiak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Misiak) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Misiak form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 2.75 / Misiak 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 68%
Edge (Misiak)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13106287
Wisniewski2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 184 of 466
Down 0–1, comes back16% 41 of 263
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 141
Misiak1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 218 of 364
Up 2–0, closes it96% 133 of 138
Up 1–0, closes it81% 178 of 221
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeWisniewski4wins
AwayMisiak5wins
3 of 9 to a deciderMisiak leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewski40%2 of 5
AwayMisiak50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski5Misiak4n = 9Wisniewski took 5 of 9
S2Wisniewski3Misiak6n = 9Misiak took 6 of 9
S3Wisniewski6Misiak3n = 9Wisniewski took 6 of 9
S4Wisniewski3Misiak4n = 7Misiak took 4 of 7
S5Wisniewski1Misiak2n = 3Misiak took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricWisniewskiMisiakW − MBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match39.240.8−1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiMisiakBasisWin rate · lifetime899 / 1876 vs 1049 / 197547.9%53.1%899 / 1876 vs 1049 / 1975Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MisiakWisniewski 2.75/Misiak 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Misiak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Misiak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 10 · 07:50B. Wisniewski—114581M. Misiak—71111113
WJul 25 · 14:20B. Wisniewski—114118123M. Misiak—611511102
LJul 19 · 11:25B. Wisniewski—111180M. Misiak—1313113
WJul 19 · 05:15B. Wisniewski—1112113M. Misiak—71090
LJul 19 · 03:00B. Wisniewski—781191M. Misiak—11116113
WJun 7 · 14:20B. Wisniewski—61111113M. Misiak—119791
LAug 21 · 14:35B. Wisniewski—127911102M. Misiak—1011119123
WJul 8 · 01:00B. Wisniewski—101113113M. Misiak—1281171
LJul 7 · 22:35B. Wisniewski—18911272M. Misiak—1611611113
B. Wisniewski10
LSep 10 · 06:50B. Wisniewski2.85117381J. Glanowski1.3581111113LSep 10 · 05:50B. Wisniewski1.9571141182D. Wrobel1.75117117113WSep 10 · 04:05K. Klocek1.755560B. Wisniewski1.901111113WSep 10 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.10119911113K. Sulkowski1.6591111872LSep 9 · 07:40B. Wisniewski3.156790A. Lilien1.301111113LSep 9 · 06:30B. Wisniewski1.7398100M. Lukaszewski1.911111123WSep 9 · 05:15B. Wisniewski2.1661111143A. Szoltysek1.571168121LSep 9 · 04:10M. Zwolinski1.8011119113B. Wisniewski1.80761181WSep 9 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.101211113K. Sulkowski1.6510990WSep 7 · 07:40B. Czerwinski1.40119871B. Wisniewski2.7541111113
M. Misiak10
LSep 10 · 07:10K. Klocek2.101611123M. Misiak1.60146100WSep 10 · 06:30M. Misiak1.77131111113K. Sulkowski1.95156781WSep 10 · 04:30M. Misiak1.511212113D. Wrobel2.29101020LSep 10 · 03:45J. Glanowski1.9011118113M. Misiak1.80791171LSep 4 · 14:40M. Misiak2.80119691A. Lilien1.3791111113WSep 4 · 13:05M. Misiak1.221111113M. Lukaszewski3.704840LSep 4 · 11:50M. Misiak2.6071160M. Minda1.411113113WSep 4 · 10:10M. Misiak1.511111123A. Myszewski2.4087100LSep 4 · 09:00M. Misiak1.745890W. Gronowski1.951111113WSep 4 · 07:40K. Klocek2.307121091M. Misiak1.55111012113
Upcoming Matches
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