TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13076476
Played Sep 4Finished
Mateusz Misiak
Home
1.74
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811911––––
Wojciech Gronowski
Away
1.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Misiak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
511811911––––
H2H Mateusz Misiak 14–9 Wojciech Gronowski Wojciech Gronowski has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Misiak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-9 in 23
Misiak
Wrong
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Misiak 1361 vs Gronowski 1289
Misiak
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Misiak 60% vs Gronowski 40%
Misiak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Misiak 40% vs Gronowski 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Misiak +1 · Gronowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Misiak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gronowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMisiak 1.74 / Gronowski 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Misiak)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13076476
Misiak1.74
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 226 of 380
Up 2–0, closes it97% 136 of 141
Up 1–0, closes it80% 180 of 224
Gronowski1.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 86 of 230
Down 0–1, comes back16% 21 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMisiak7wins
AwayGronowski3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMisiak leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMisiak100%7 of 7
AwayGronowski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Misiak7Gronowski3n = 10Misiak took 7 of 10
S2Misiak7Gronowski3n = 10Misiak took 7 of 10
S3Misiak5Gronowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Misiak5Gronowski1n = 6Misiak took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMisiakGronowskiM − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.031.4+5.6per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMisiakGronowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1068 / 2011 vs 479 / 109853.1%43.6%1068 / 2011 vs 479 / 1098Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MisiakMisiak 1.74/Gronowski 1.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Misiak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gronowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 03:50M. Misiak—11711113W. Gronowski—611641
WJun 14 · 16:15M. Misiak—11125113W. Gronowski—8101191
WJun 6 · 11:05M. Misiak—1111133W. Gronowski—27110
WMay 30 · 14:45M. Misiak—111113113W. Gronowski—891551
WMay 10 · 17:50M. Misiak—12811123W. Gronowski—10117101
WMar 7 · 17:20M. Misiak—1111113W. Gronowski—6550
WMar 1 · 03:20M. Misiak—1111113W. Gronowski—6780
LMar 1 · 24:55M. Misiak—811811122W. Gronowski—116112143
LJan 4 · 16:55M. Misiak—511651W. Gronowski—11611113
LDec 18 · 21:30M. Misiak—77100W. Gronowski—1111123
M. Misiak10
LSep 4 · 14:40M. Misiak2.80119691A. Lilien1.3791111113WSep 4 · 13:05M. Misiak1.221111113M. Lukaszewski3.704840LSep 4 · 11:50M. Misiak2.6071160M. Minda1.411113113WSep 4 · 10:10M. Misiak1.511111123A. Myszewski2.4087100WSep 4 · 07:40K. Klocek2.307121091M. Misiak1.55111012113LSep 4 · 06:55A. Myszewski2.4081211113M. Misiak1.501110431WSep 4 · 06:05M. Misiak1.2511119113M. Lukaszewski3.45771121LSep 4 · 04:30M. Misiak2.4031181192B. Sulkowski1.50117116113WSep 4 · 03:50W. Gronowski1.95611641M. Misiak1.7611711113LAug 30 · 24:10R. Stapor1.87111111113M. Misiak1.83851391
W. Gronowski10
LSep 5 · 07:40W. Gronowski2.0091111882J. Przewlocki1.71115911113LSep 5 · 06:25W. Gronowski2.38111011992M. Minda1.49712711113LSep 5 · 05:15W. Gronowski1.711131081D. Wrobel2.0071112113WSep 5 · 04:00K. Klocek1.857101131W. Gronowski1.8511127113WSep 5 · 03:20W. Gronowski1.9511118113J. Wozniak1.75761181LSep 4 · 14:20M. Minda1.5511711123W. Gronowski2.307117101LSep 4 · 13:30A. Lilien1.54111111113W. Gronowski2.25139971WSep 4 · 11:25A. Myszewski2.101091261W. Gronowski1.60121110113LSep 4 · 10:35M. Lukaszewski2.55811911113W. Gronowski1.4311911772LSep 4 · 03:50W. Gronowski1.95611641M. Misiak1.7611711113
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