TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13075727
Played Sep 4Finished
Adrian Myszewski
Home
2.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111210114113––
Mateusz Misiak
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:40 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Misiak to win
66.0%
66.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
8111210114113––
H2H Adrian Myszewski 9–15 Mateusz Misiak Adrian Myszewski has won 9 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:40What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Misiak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-15 in 24
Misiak
Wrong
gap of 6 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Myszewski 1257 vs Misiak 1348
Misiak
Wrong
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Myszewski 20% vs Misiak 60%
Misiak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Myszewski 20% vs Misiak 40%
Misiak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Myszewski +1 · Misiak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Misiak) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Myszewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMyszewski 2.40 / Misiak 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Misiak)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13075727
Myszewski2.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 60 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back18% 18 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 51
Misiak1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 225 of 374
Up 2–0, closes it97% 138 of 143
Up 1–0, closes it81% 183 of 226
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMyszewski4wins
AwayMisiak6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMisiak leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMyszewski50%2 of 4
AwayMisiak66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Myszewski4Misiak6n = 10Misiak took 6 of 10
S2Myszewski4Misiak6n = 10Misiak took 6 of 10
S3Myszewski4Misiak6n = 10Misiak took 6 of 10
S4Myszewski4Misiak2n = 6Myszewski took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMyszewskiMisiakMyszewski − MisiakBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.436.9−0.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMyszewskiMisiakBasisWin rate · lifetime435 / 887 vs 1067 / 201049%53.1%435 / 887 vs 1067 / 2010Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MisiakMyszewski 2.40/Misiak 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.1%
Misiak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Myszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 10:10A. Myszewski—87100M. Misiak—1111123
WSep 4 · 06:55A. Myszewski—81211113M. Misiak—1110431
LAug 29 · 23:45A. Myszewski—811591M. Misiak—11711113
WAug 29 · 19:40A. Myszewski—81113113M. Misiak—1131161
LAug 15 · 23:20A. Myszewski—10870M. Misiak—1211113
LAug 15 · 17:20A. Myszewski—1491012132M. Misiak—12111210153
WAug 7 · 10:35A. Myszewski—13711113M. Misiak—1111971
LMar 18 · 14:55A. Myszewski—119681M. Misiak—71111113
WFeb 5 · 11:10A. Myszewski—1111153M. Misiak—89130
LDec 28 · 01:40A. Myszewski—69100M. Misiak—1111123
A. Myszewski10
WSep 7 · 24:10A. Myszewski2.401211113A. Lilien1.5110490LSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.91815100M. Trela1.771117123WSep 6 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.9091111113A. Linek1.75115821WSep 6 · 21:30A. Myszewski2.3711711113B. Sulkowski1.51511451WSep 6 · 20:30M. Trela1.87991161A. Myszewski1.8311118113WSep 6 · 19:20A. Myszewski2.301111113A. Lilien1.528560LSep 6 · 18:10B. Sulkowski1.60111178113A. Myszewski2.1036111142LSep 6 · 16:55A. Wos1.361111113A. Myszewski2.805640LSep 6 · 15:25J. Michalczyk1.541111108113A. Myszewski2.2569121192WSep 4 · 13:55A. Myszewski1.28131111113M. Lukaszewski3.251113761
M. Misiak10
LSep 4 · 14:40M. Misiak2.80119691A. Lilien1.3791111113WSep 4 · 13:05M. Misiak1.221111113M. Lukaszewski3.704840LSep 4 · 11:50M. Misiak2.6071160M. Minda1.411113113WSep 4 · 10:10M. Misiak1.511111123A. Myszewski2.4087100LSep 4 · 09:00M. Misiak1.745890W. Gronowski1.951111113WSep 4 · 07:40K. Klocek2.307121091M. Misiak1.55111012113WSep 4 · 06:05M. Misiak1.2511119113M. Lukaszewski3.45771121LSep 4 · 04:30M. Misiak2.4031181192B. Sulkowski1.50117116113WSep 4 · 03:50W. Gronowski1.95611641M. Misiak1.7611711113LAug 30 · 24:10R. Stapor1.87111111113M. Misiak1.83851391
Upcoming Matches
A. Myszewski
M. Misiak
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.