TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13075507
Played Sep 4Finished
Mateusz Misiak
Home
2.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
311117811116911
Bartosz Sulkowski
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:11 and never touched — 62.3% is still 62.3%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
62.3%
62.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
311117811116911
H2H Mateusz Misiak 16–22 Bartosz Sulkowski Mateusz Misiak has won 16 of their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Sulkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-22 in 38
Sulkowski
Correct
gap of 6 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Misiak 1366 vs Sulkowski 1391
Sulkowski
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Misiak 40% vs Sulkowski 60%
Sulkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Misiak 30% vs Sulkowski 60%
Sulkowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Misiak +1 · Sulkowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Sulkowski)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMisiak 2.40 / Sulkowski 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Sulkowski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13075507
Misiak2.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 111 of 304
Down 0–1, comes back14% 24 of 167
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 94
Sulkowski1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 206 of 354
Up 2–0, closes it98% 92 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it82% 149 of 181
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMisiak5wins
AwaySulkowski5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMisiak100%4 of 4
AwaySulkowski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Misiak4Sulkowski6n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S2Misiak3Sulkowski7n = 10Sulkowski took 7 of 10
S3Misiak5Sulkowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Misiak5Sulkowski4n = 9Misiak took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMisiakSulkowskiM − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.640.3−2.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMisiakSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1066 / 2007 vs 526 / 119953.1%43.9%1066 / 2007 vs 526 / 1199Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiMisiak 2.40/Sulkowski 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.3%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 21:30M. Misiak—4117101B. Sulkowski—11611123
WAug 22 · 17:45M. Misiak—117713113B. Sulkowski—511111172
WAug 21 · 04:30M. Misiak—13117133B. Sulkowski—11811111
LAug 7 · 09:00M. Misiak—751141B. Sulkowski—11115113
LJul 2 · 06:55M. Misiak—10450B. Sulkowski—1211113
WJul 2 · 04:30M. Misiak—891111113B. Sulkowski—11118572
LJun 27 · 06:25M. Misiak—1291171B. Sulkowski—14117113
WJun 27 · 04:00M. Misiak—151112113B. Sulkowski—1391471
LJun 26 · 12:40M. Misiak—251181B. Sulkowski—11118113
WJun 19 · 12:40M. Misiak—12711113B. Sulkowski—1011781
M. Misiak10
LSep 4 · 14:40M. Misiak2.80119691A. Lilien1.3791111113WSep 4 · 13:05M. Misiak1.221111113M. Lukaszewski3.704840LSep 4 · 11:50M. Misiak2.6071160M. Minda1.411113113WSep 4 · 10:10M. Misiak1.511111123A. Myszewski2.4087100LSep 4 · 09:00M. Misiak1.745890W. Gronowski1.951111113WSep 4 · 07:40K. Klocek2.307121091M. Misiak1.55111012113LSep 4 · 06:55A. Myszewski2.4081211113M. Misiak1.501110431WSep 4 · 06:05M. Misiak1.2511119113M. Lukaszewski3.45771121WSep 4 · 03:50W. Gronowski1.95611641M. Misiak1.7611711113LAug 30 · 24:10R. Stapor1.87111111113M. Misiak1.83851391
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 7 · 24:35A. Linek1.97136681B. Sulkowski1.71111111113WSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113LSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:30A. Myszewski2.3711711113B. Sulkowski1.51511451WSep 6 · 19:40J. Michalczyk2.21811981B. Sulkowski1.5711211113WSep 6 · 18:55M. Trela2.239711121B. Sulkowski1.5611112143WSep 6 · 18:10B. Sulkowski1.60111178113A. Myszewski2.1036111142LSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:50A. Wos1.421511113113B. Sulkowski2.6017761162WSep 5 · 23:20A. Lilien1.62711781B. Sulkowski2.1511711113
Upcoming Matches
M. Misiak
Nothing scheduled
B. Sulkowski
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