TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13076932
Played Sep 4Finished
Mateusz Misiak
Home
2.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111113611––––
Michal Minda
Away
1.41
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Misiak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
7111113611––––
H2H Mateusz Misiak 18–32 Michal Minda Mateusz Misiak has won 18 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:38What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Minda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-32 in 50
Minda
Correct
gap of 14 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Misiak 1355 vs Minda 1456
Minda
Correct
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Misiak 60% vs Minda 40%
Misiak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Misiak 50% vs Minda 30%
Misiak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Misiak +1 · Minda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Minda) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Minda form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMisiak 2.60 / Minda 1.41
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Minda)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13076932
Misiak2.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 111 of 304
Down 0–1, comes back14% 24 of 167
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 94
Minda1.41
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 289 of 480
Up 2–0, closes it97% 120 of 124
Up 1–0, closes it80% 215 of 270
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMisiak2wins
AwayMinda8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMinda leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMisiak28.6%2 of 7
AwayMinda100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Misiak7Minda3n = 10Misiak took 7 of 10
S2Misiak5Minda5n = 10split evenly
S3Misiak1Minda9n = 10Minda took 9 of 10
S4Misiak4Minda4n = 8split evenly
S5Misiak0Minda5n = 5Minda took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMisiakMindaMisiak − MindaBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.241.9−4.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMisiakMindaBasisWin rate · lifetime1069 / 2013 vs 1018 / 200553.1%50.8%1069 / 2013 vs 1018 / 2005Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MindaMisiak 2.60/Minda 1.41
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68%
Minda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Minda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 14:20M. Misiak—11117882M. Minda—771111113
LAug 7 · 06:25M. Misiak—12391152M. Minda—1011116113
WJul 31 · 11:00M. Misiak—11113113M. Minda—531181
LJul 8 · 13:30M. Misiak—7970M. Minda—1111113
LJul 2 · 11:00M. Misiak—7690M. Minda—1111113
LJul 1 · 09:00M. Misiak—11811552M. Minda—511811113
LJun 26 · 09:50M. Misiak—1114651M. Minda—131211113
LJun 19 · 13:55M. Misiak—111291152M. Minda—714118113
LApr 30 · 16:15M. Misiak—111165102M. Minda—591111123
WMar 29 · 15:05M. Misiak—11125113M. Minda—9101181
M. Misiak10
LSep 4 · 14:40M. Misiak2.80119691A. Lilien1.3791111113WSep 4 · 13:05M. Misiak1.221111113M. Lukaszewski3.704840WSep 4 · 10:10M. Misiak1.511111123A. Myszewski2.4087100LSep 4 · 09:00M. Misiak1.745890W. Gronowski1.951111113WSep 4 · 07:40K. Klocek2.307121091M. Misiak1.55111012113LSep 4 · 06:55A. Myszewski2.4081211113M. Misiak1.501110431WSep 4 · 06:05M. Misiak1.2511119113M. Lukaszewski3.45771121LSep 4 · 04:30M. Misiak2.4031181192B. Sulkowski1.50117116113WSep 4 · 03:50W. Gronowski1.95611641M. Misiak1.7611711113LAug 30 · 24:10R. Stapor1.87111111113M. Misiak1.83851391
M. Minda10
LSep 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak1.54111111113M. Minda2.25881381LSep 7 · 05:35M. Sklensky1.471111113M. Minda2.459480WSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131LSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113WSep 5 · 14:15K. Klocek2.70101113121M. Minda1.3512815143WSep 5 · 13:25B. Kwodawski2.90911621M. Minda1.3511911113WSep 5 · 11:20A. Mugowski2.609980M. Minda1.421111113LSep 5 · 10:30J. Wozniak2.10117911113M. Minda1.6791111872WSep 5 · 09:00J. Przewlocki2.951191031M. Minda1.3561112113WSep 5 · 08:05M. Minda1.451111143D. Wrobel2.4569120
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