TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13076470
Played Sep 4Finished
Mateusz Misiak
Home
1.51
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181171210––––
Adrian Myszewski
Away
2.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:50 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Misiak to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
1181171210––––
H2H Mateusz Misiak 14–9 Adrian Myszewski Adrian Myszewski has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:50What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.51 (61%)
Misiak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-9 in 23
Misiak
Correct
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Misiak 1343 vs Myszewski 1273
Misiak
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Misiak 40% vs Myszewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Misiak 40% vs Myszewski 20%
Misiak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Misiak -1 · Myszewski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Misiak) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Misiak form (40%) is below what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMisiak 1.51 / Myszewski 2.40
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Misiak)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13076470
Misiak1.51
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 226 of 380
Up 2–0, closes it97% 136 of 141
Up 1–0, closes it80% 180 of 224
Myszewski2.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 61 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back17% 17 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMisiak5wins
AwayMyszewski5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMisiak60%3 of 5
AwayMyszewski60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Misiak5Myszewski5n = 10split evenly
S2Misiak5Myszewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Misiak5Myszewski5n = 10split evenly
S4Misiak2Myszewski4n = 6Myszewski took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMisiakMyszewskiMisiak − MyszewskiBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.637.2−1.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMisiakMyszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1068 / 2012 vs 434 / 88353.1%49.2%1068 / 2012 vs 434 / 883Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MisiakMisiak 1.51/Myszewski 2.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.6%
Misiak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Misiak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 06:55M. Misiak—1110431A. Myszewski—81211113
WAug 29 · 23:45M. Misiak—11711113A. Myszewski—811591
LAug 29 · 19:40M. Misiak—1131161A. Myszewski—81113113
WAug 15 · 23:20M. Misiak—1211113A. Myszewski—10870
WAug 15 · 17:20M. Misiak—12111210153A. Myszewski—1491012132
LAug 7 · 10:35M. Misiak—1111971A. Myszewski—13711113
WMar 18 · 14:55M. Misiak—71111113A. Myszewski—119681
LFeb 5 · 11:10M. Misiak—89130A. Myszewski—1111153
WDec 28 · 01:40M. Misiak—1111123A. Myszewski—69100
LDec 27 · 23:15M. Misiak—7770A. Myszewski—1111113
M. Misiak10
LSep 4 · 14:40M. Misiak2.80119691A. Lilien1.3791111113WSep 4 · 13:05M. Misiak1.221111113M. Lukaszewski3.704840LSep 4 · 11:50M. Misiak2.6071160M. Minda1.411113113LSep 4 · 09:00M. Misiak1.745890W. Gronowski1.951111113WSep 4 · 07:40K. Klocek2.307121091M. Misiak1.55111012113LSep 4 · 06:55A. Myszewski2.4081211113M. Misiak1.501110431WSep 4 · 06:05M. Misiak1.2511119113M. Lukaszewski3.45771121LSep 4 · 04:30M. Misiak2.4031181192B. Sulkowski1.50117116113WSep 4 · 03:50W. Gronowski1.95611641M. Misiak1.7611711113LAug 30 · 24:10R. Stapor1.87111111113M. Misiak1.83851391
A. Myszewski10
WSep 7 · 24:10A. Myszewski2.401211113A. Lilien1.5110490LSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.91815100M. Trela1.771117123WSep 6 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.9091111113A. Linek1.75115821WSep 6 · 21:30A. Myszewski2.3711711113B. Sulkowski1.51511451WSep 6 · 20:30M. Trela1.87991161A. Myszewski1.8311118113WSep 6 · 19:20A. Myszewski2.301111113A. Lilien1.528560LSep 6 · 18:10B. Sulkowski1.60111178113A. Myszewski2.1036111142LSep 6 · 16:55A. Wos1.361111113A. Myszewski2.805640LSep 6 · 15:25J. Michalczyk1.541111108113A. Myszewski2.2569121192WSep 4 · 06:55A. Myszewski2.4081211113M. Misiak1.501110431
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