TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078104
Played Sep 5Finished
Wojciech Gronowski
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117116811118––
Jakub Wozniak
Away
1.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Wozniak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
117116811118––
H2H Wojciech Gronowski 4–3 Jakub Wozniak Jakub Wozniak has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:50What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Wozniak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gronowski 1291 vs Wozniak 1378
Wozniak
Wrong
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gronowski 40% vs Wozniak 60%
Wozniak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gronowski 40% vs Wozniak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gronowski -2 · Wozniak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wozniak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gronowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGronowski 1.95 / Wozniak 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wozniak)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13078104
Gronowski1.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 86 of 230
Down 0–1, comes back16% 21 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 62
Wozniak1.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 62 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it100% 24 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it79% 45 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeGronowski4wins
AwayWozniak3wins
1 of 7 to a deciderGronowski leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGronowski100%3 of 3
AwayWozniak75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gronowski3Wozniak4n = 7Wozniak took 4 of 7
S2Gronowski6Wozniak1n = 7Gronowski took 6 of 7
S3Gronowski5Wozniak2n = 7Gronowski took 5 of 7
S4Gronowski2Wozniak2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricGronowskiWozniakG − WBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match35.333.4+1.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGronowskiWozniakBasisWin rate · lifetime481 / 1103 vs 295 / 62343.6%47.4%481 / 1103 vs 295 / 623Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WozniakGronowski 1.95/Wozniak 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wozniak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gronowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WApr 24 · 16:45W. Gronowski—91111113J. Wozniak—118741
WFeb 27 · 19:10W. Gronowski—1112113J. Wozniak—61080
WFeb 14 · 11:40W. Gronowski—1111113J. Wozniak—9890
LFeb 14 · 07:10W. Gronowski—71151182J. Wozniak—118119113
LSep 3 · 23:20W. Gronowski—1041181J. Wozniak—12117113
WSep 3 · 21:00W. Gronowski—1111113J. Wozniak—5790
LAug 15 · 07:45W. Gronowski—911551J. Wozniak—11911113
W. Gronowski10
LSep 5 · 07:40W. Gronowski2.0091111882J. Przewlocki1.71115911113LSep 5 · 06:25W. Gronowski2.38111011992M. Minda1.49712711113LSep 5 · 05:15W. Gronowski1.711131081D. Wrobel2.0071112113WSep 5 · 04:00K. Klocek1.857101131W. Gronowski1.8511127113LSep 4 · 14:20M. Minda1.5511711123W. Gronowski2.307117101LSep 4 · 13:30A. Lilien1.54111111113W. Gronowski2.25139971WSep 4 · 11:25A. Myszewski2.101091261W. Gronowski1.60121110113LSep 4 · 10:35M. Lukaszewski2.55811911113W. Gronowski1.4311911772WSep 4 · 09:00M. Misiak1.745890W. Gronowski1.951111113WSep 4 · 08:10W. Gronowski1.95119911113B. Sulkowski1.7491111482
J. Wozniak10
LSep 5 · 13:50A. Mugowski1.921311143J. Wozniak1.76115120WSep 5 · 13:00J. Przewlocki1.951511610102J. Wozniak1.751391112123LSep 5 · 12:10J. Wozniak1.8710650B. Kwodawski1.811211113WSep 5 · 10:30J. Wozniak2.10117911113M. Minda1.6791111872WSep 5 · 09:45K. Klocek1.87111171152J. Wozniak1.80751113113WSep 5 · 08:30K. Klocek1.87119211112J. Wozniak1.83811117133WSep 5 · 07:15J. Wozniak1.8581111113D. Wrobel1.80112571LSep 5 · 06:00J. Przewlocki2.001112123J. Wozniak1.71910100LSep 5 · 04:50M. Minda1.54111110123J. Wozniak2.256712101LAug 29 · 14:20A. Szoltysek2.7014116113J. Wozniak1.401281161
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