TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13080912
Played Sep 5Finished
Michal Minda
Home
1.54
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11611710121210––
Jakub Wozniak
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:48 and never touched — 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timeMichal Minda to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
11611710121210––
H2H Michal Minda 33–42 Jakub Wozniak Michal Minda has won 33 of their 75 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:48What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Minda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-42 in 75
Wozniak
Wrong
gap of 9 in 75, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Minda 1488 vs Wozniak 1363
Minda
Correct
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Minda 80% vs Wozniak 40%
Minda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Minda 60% vs Wozniak 40%
Minda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Minda +4 · Wozniak -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Minda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Minda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMinda 1.54 / Wozniak 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Minda)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13080912
Minda1.54
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 293 of 484
Up 2–0, closes it97% 121 of 125
Up 1–0, closes it80% 218 of 273
Wozniak2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 53 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back28% 21 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMinda4wins
AwayWozniak6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWozniak leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMinda66.7%2 of 3
AwayWozniak71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Minda3Wozniak7n = 10Wozniak took 7 of 10
S2Minda4Wozniak6n = 10Wozniak took 6 of 10
S3Minda5Wozniak5n = 10split evenly
S4Minda3Wozniak5n = 8Wozniak took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMindaWozniakM − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.340.3−4.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMindaWozniakBasisWin rate · lifetime1021 / 2007 vs 290 / 61350.9%47.3%1021 / 2007 vs 290 / 613Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MindaMinda 1.54/Wozniak 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.8%
Minda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Minda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 8 · 10:30M. Minda—115116113J. Wozniak—81181162
LAug 8 · 03:20M. Minda—9990J. Wozniak—1111113
LJun 20 · 08:05M. Minda—921161J. Wozniak—11119113
LJun 13 · 03:05M. Minda—7118131J. Wozniak—11711153
LJun 4 · 04:10M. Minda—113881J. Wozniak—91111113
LMar 22 · 11:10M. Minda—911591J. Wozniak—11711113
WFeb 28 · 04:00M. Minda—61118113J. Wozniak—1151681
WOct 9 · 06:30M. Minda—41111113J. Wozniak—117971
LOct 8 · 11:25M. Minda—9590J. Wozniak—1111113
WOct 1 · 11:50M. Minda—131411173J. Wozniak—11169151
M. Minda10
LSep 7 · 05:35M. Sklensky1.471111113M. Minda2.459480WSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131LSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113WSep 5 · 14:15K. Klocek2.70101113121M. Minda1.3512815143WSep 5 · 13:25B. Kwodawski2.90911621M. Minda1.3511911113WSep 5 · 11:20A. Mugowski2.609980M. Minda1.421111113LSep 5 · 10:30J. Wozniak2.10117911113M. Minda1.6791111872WSep 5 · 09:00J. Przewlocki2.951191031M. Minda1.3561112113WSep 5 · 08:05M. Minda1.451111143D. Wrobel2.4569120WSep 5 · 06:25W. Gronowski2.38111011992M. Minda1.49712711113
J. Wozniak10
LSep 5 · 13:50A. Mugowski1.921311143J. Wozniak1.76115120WSep 5 · 13:00J. Przewlocki1.951511610102J. Wozniak1.751391112123LSep 5 · 12:10J. Wozniak1.8710650B. Kwodawski1.811211113WSep 5 · 10:30J. Wozniak2.10117911113M. Minda1.6791111872WSep 5 · 09:45K. Klocek1.87111171152J. Wozniak1.80751113113WSep 5 · 08:30K. Klocek1.87119211112J. Wozniak1.83811117133WSep 5 · 07:15J. Wozniak1.8581111113D. Wrobel1.80112571LSep 5 · 06:00J. Przewlocki2.001112123J. Wozniak1.71910100LSep 5 · 03:20W. Gronowski1.9511118113J. Wozniak1.75761181LAug 29 · 14:20A. Szoltysek2.7014116113J. Wozniak1.401281161
Upcoming Matches
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