TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13081174
Played Sep 5Finished
Jakub Wozniak
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811112115117––
Dariusz Wrobel
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:40 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Wozniak to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
811112115117––
H2H Jakub Wozniak 8–6 Dariusz Wrobel Dariusz Wrobel has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:40What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Wrobel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-6 in 14
Wozniak
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wozniak 1366 vs Wrobel 1287
Wozniak
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wozniak 0% vs Wrobel 20%
Wrobel
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wozniak 30% vs Wrobel 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wozniak -5 · Wrobel +1
Wozniak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wozniak) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wrobel form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWozniak 1.85 / Wrobel 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wozniak)+4.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13081174
Wozniak1.85
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 55 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back29% 22 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Wrobel1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 95 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it78% 72 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWozniak6wins
AwayWrobel4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWozniak leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWozniak75%3 of 4
AwayWrobel50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wozniak4Wrobel6n = 10Wrobel took 6 of 10
S2Wozniak6Wrobel4n = 10Wozniak took 6 of 10
S3Wozniak6Wrobel4n = 10Wozniak took 6 of 10
S4Wozniak3Wrobel5n = 8Wrobel took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWozniakWrobelWozniak − WrobelBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.237.2+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWozniakWrobelBasisWin rate · lifetime291 / 613 vs 547 / 114347.5%47.9%291 / 613 vs 547 / 1143Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WozniakWozniak 1.85/Wrobel 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wozniak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wozniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 07:15J. Wozniak—81111113D. Wrobel—112571
WJul 18 · 06:30J. Wozniak—9111111113D. Wrobel—11361362
LJul 18 · 04:10J. Wozniak—12911111D. Wrobel—101113133
WJun 13 · 08:20J. Wozniak—1111113D. Wrobel—6980
LApr 25 · 01:10J. Wozniak—511881D. Wrobel—11411113
WApr 24 · 22:45J. Wozniak—511119113D. Wrobel—11861172
WApr 4 · 02:20J. Wozniak—11145163D. Wrobel—91211141
LApr 3 · 23:55J. Wozniak—951281D. Wrobel—111110113
LMar 28 · 06:00J. Wozniak—4980D. Wrobel—1111113
WMar 28 · 03:00J. Wozniak—12811113D. Wrobel—1011781
J. Wozniak10
LSep 5 · 13:50A. Mugowski1.921311143J. Wozniak1.76115120WSep 5 · 13:00J. Przewlocki1.951511610102J. Wozniak1.751391112123LSep 5 · 12:10J. Wozniak1.8710650B. Kwodawski1.811211113WSep 5 · 10:30J. Wozniak2.10117911113M. Minda1.6791111872WSep 5 · 09:45K. Klocek1.87111171152J. Wozniak1.80751113113WSep 5 · 08:30K. Klocek1.87119211112J. Wozniak1.83811117133LSep 5 · 06:00J. Przewlocki2.001112123J. Wozniak1.71910100LSep 5 · 04:50M. Minda1.54111110123J. Wozniak2.256712101LSep 5 · 03:20W. Gronowski1.9511118113J. Wozniak1.75761181LAug 29 · 14:20A. Szoltysek2.7014116113J. Wozniak1.401281161
D. Wrobel10
LSep 5 · 08:05M. Minda1.451111143D. Wrobel2.4569120WSep 5 · 05:15W. Gronowski1.711131081D. Wrobel2.0071112113LSep 5 · 04:25J. Przewlocki1.801111113D. Wrobel1.864980LSep 5 · 03:00K. Klocek1.76111111113D. Wrobel1.90871361LAug 29 · 07:40D. Wrobel1.778911101K. Marchlewski1.9511119123LAug 29 · 06:30D. Wrobel2.18811311132T. Piotrowski1.58118119153LAug 29 · 05:15D. Wrobel1.71413891B. Wisniewski2.00111111113WAug 29 · 04:10A. Szoltysek2.35131112862D. Wrobel1.501591011113LAug 29 · 03:25D. Wrobel1.85125118102J. Rolak1.851011811123WAug 26 · 08:10D. Wrobel2.3611611123B. Czerwinski1.508117101
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