TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13034347
Played Aug 29Finished
Dariusz Wrobel
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12105111188111012
Jaroslaw Rolak
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:30 and never touched — 55.0% is still 55.0%
Graded at full timeDariusz Wrobel to win
55.0%
55.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
12105111188111012
H2H Dariusz Wrobel 33–38 Jaroslaw Rolak Dariusz Wrobel has won 33 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:30What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Rolak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-38 in 71
Rolak
Correct
gap of 5 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wrobel 1367 vs Rolak 1299
Wrobel
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wrobel 80% vs Rolak 40%
Wrobel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wrobel 70% vs Rolak 40%
Wrobel
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wrobel +1 · Rolak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wrobel) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rolak form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWrobel 1.85 / Rolak 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wrobel)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13034347
Wrobel1.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Rolak1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWrobel4wins
AwayRolak6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderRolak leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWrobel60%3 of 5
AwayRolak80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wrobel5Rolak5n = 10split evenly
S2Wrobel5Rolak5n = 10split evenly
S3Wrobel3Rolak7n = 10Rolak took 7 of 10
S4Wrobel5Rolak5n = 10split evenly
S5Wrobel3Rolak3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWrobelRolakW − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.845.2−1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWrobelRolakBasisWin rate · lifetime568 / 1167 vs 664 / 143948.7%46.1%568 / 1167 vs 664 / 1439Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WrobelWrobel 1.85/Rolak 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wrobel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rolak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 15 · 08:35D. Wrobel—791171J. Rolak—11115113
WAug 8 · 03:50D. Wrobel—912811113J. Rolak—111011282
LAug 1 · 03:25D. Wrobel—1415611102J. Rolak—1217116123
WJul 18 · 05:40D. Wrobel—111156113J. Rolak—69111192
LJul 18 · 03:25D. Wrobel—78111152J. Rolak—111168113
LJul 4 · 06:30D. Wrobel—7111361J. Rolak—11815113
WJul 4 · 04:10D. Wrobel—118119113J. Rolak—71181182
LFeb 11 · 01:45D. Wrobel—116411132J. Rolak—811116153
WFeb 10 · 23:20D. Wrobel—13118113J. Rolak—1171191
LJan 30 · 01:45D. Wrobel—7111081J. Rolak—11812113
D. Wrobel10
LSep 5 · 08:05M. Minda1.451111143D. Wrobel2.4569120LSep 5 · 07:15J. Wozniak1.8581111113D. Wrobel1.80112571WSep 5 · 05:15W. Gronowski1.711131081D. Wrobel2.0071112113LSep 5 · 04:25J. Przewlocki1.801111113D. Wrobel1.864980LSep 5 · 03:00K. Klocek1.76111111113D. Wrobel1.90871361LAug 29 · 07:40D. Wrobel1.778911101K. Marchlewski1.9511119123LAug 29 · 06:30D. Wrobel2.18811311132T. Piotrowski1.58118119153LAug 29 · 05:15D. Wrobel1.71413891B. Wisniewski2.00111111113WAug 29 · 04:10A. Szoltysek2.35131112862D. Wrobel1.501591011113WAug 26 · 08:10D. Wrobel2.3611611123B. Czerwinski1.508117101
J. Rolak10
WSep 5 · 13:55J. Rolak1.591111113W. Suchecki2.176750LSep 5 · 12:40J. Rolak1.80961181A. Szoltysek1.9011118113LSep 5 · 11:25J. Rolak1.6011115882W. Iwasyszyn2.20951111113WSep 5 · 10:10T. Piotrowski1.60119631J. Rolak2.2071111113WSep 5 · 09:25J. Rolak1.90111111113M. Zwolinski1.75613441WSep 5 · 08:35W. Suchecki2.2022110J. Rolak1.601111133WSep 5 · 07:20J. Rolak1.8011119113A. Szoltysek1.85471181LSep 5 · 06:05M. Zwolinski1.84101112113J. Rolak1.831291051LSep 5 · 04:55T. Piotrowski1.571111113J. Rolak2.213780LSep 5 · 03:25W. Iwasyszyn1.8011117113J. Rolak1.90781171
Upcoming Matches
D. Wrobel
J. Rolak
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.