TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13076467
Played Sep 4Finished
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Home
2.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811119911117117
Wojciech Gronowski
Away
1.43
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:51 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeWojciech Gronowski to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
811119911117117
H2H Mikolaj Lukaszewski 5–7 Wojciech Gronowski Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:51What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.43 (64%)
Gronowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Gronowski
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukaszewski 1232 vs Gronowski 1306
Gronowski
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukaszewski 20% vs Gronowski 60%
Gronowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukaszewski 50% vs Gronowski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukaszewski -1 · Gronowski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Gronowski) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukaszewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (39%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukaszewski 2.55 / Gronowski 1.43
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Gronowski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13076467
Lukaszewski2.55
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 278 of 673
Down 0–1, comes back14% 53 of 372
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 195
Gronowski1.43
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 56 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it74% 42 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukaszewski3wins
AwayGronowski7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderGronowski leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukaszewski66.7%2 of 3
AwayGronowski85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukaszewski3Gronowski7n = 10Gronowski took 7 of 10
S2Lukaszewski7Gronowski3n = 10Lukaszewski took 7 of 10
S3Lukaszewski3Gronowski7n = 10Gronowski took 7 of 10
S4Lukaszewski3Gronowski6n = 9Gronowski took 6 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukaszewskiGronowskiL − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.540.9−7.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukaszewskiGronowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime927 / 2046 vs 480 / 109945.3%43.7%927 / 2046 vs 480 / 1099Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GronowskiLukaszewski 2.55/Gronowski 1.43
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Gronowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lukaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski—281171W. Gronowski—11117113
WJun 5 · 12:10M. Lukaszewski—11127113W. Gronowski—8101181
LJun 5 · 06:40M. Lukaszewski—12411442W. Gronowski—1011911113
WJun 5 · 04:10M. Lukaszewski—11118113W. Gronowski—691191
LMar 6 · 12:00M. Lukaszewski—5119101W. Gronowski—11811123
LJan 28 · 10:45M. Lukaszewski—411431W. Gronowski—11811113
LJan 20 · 13:10M. Lukaszewski—713761W. Gronowski—111111113
WJan 19 · 15:35M. Lukaszewski—71211163W. Gronowski—11108141
LDec 20 · 06:20M. Lukaszewski—6690W. Gronowski—1111113
LOct 12 · 09:20M. Lukaszewski—711781W. Gronowski—11911113
M. Lukaszewski10
LSep 4 · 13:55A. Myszewski1.28131111113M. Lukaszewski3.251113761LSep 4 · 13:05M. Misiak1.221111113M. Lukaszewski3.704840WSep 4 · 12:15M. Lukaszewski3.7581512113A. Lilien1.2211131081LSep 4 · 09:50M. Minda1.23111111123M. Lukaszewski3.558134101WSep 4 · 08:35A. Myszewski1.411111111192M. Lukaszewski2.60213713113LSep 4 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski3.355770B. Sulkowski1.271111113LSep 4 · 06:05M. Misiak1.2511119113M. Lukaszewski3.45771121LSep 4 · 04:55W. Gronowski1.3611117113M. Lukaszewski2.80281171LSep 4 · 03:25K. Klocek1.651311113M. Lukaszewski2.0511810WSep 3 · 07:40M. Lukaszewski2.95115155113B. Sulkowski1.35711131152
W. Gronowski10
LSep 5 · 07:40W. Gronowski2.0091111882J. Przewlocki1.71115911113LSep 5 · 06:25W. Gronowski2.38111011992M. Minda1.49712711113LSep 5 · 05:15W. Gronowski1.711131081D. Wrobel2.0071112113WSep 5 · 04:00K. Klocek1.857101131W. Gronowski1.8511127113WSep 5 · 03:20W. Gronowski1.9511118113J. Wozniak1.75761181LSep 4 · 14:20M. Minda1.5511711123W. Gronowski2.307117101LSep 4 · 13:30A. Lilien1.54111111113W. Gronowski2.25139971WSep 4 · 11:25A. Myszewski2.101091261W. Gronowski1.60121110113WSep 4 · 09:00M. Misiak1.745890W. Gronowski1.951111113WSep 4 · 04:55W. Gronowski1.3611117113M. Lukaszewski2.80281171
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