TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13075723
Played Sep 4Finished
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Home
3.35
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711711––––
Bartosz Sulkowski
Away
1.27
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:38 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
511711711––––
H2H Mikolaj Lukaszewski 2–4 Bartosz Sulkowski Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.27 (73%)
Sulkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Sulkowski
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukaszewski 1242 vs Sulkowski 1438
Sulkowski
Correct
both rated, 196 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukaszewski 40% vs Sulkowski 60%
Sulkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukaszewski 60% vs Sulkowski 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukaszewski -3 · Sulkowski -1
Lukaszewski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (60%) is below what odds imply (79%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukaszewski 3.35 / Sulkowski 1.27
Signal prob.24% / 77%
Edge (Sulkowski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13075723
Lukaszewski3.35
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 276 of 676
Down 0–1, comes back15% 55 of 379
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 199
Sulkowski1.27
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 211 of 362
Up 2–0, closes it98% 96 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it82% 154 of 188
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLukaszewski2wins
AwaySulkowski4wins
3 of 6 to a deciderSulkowski leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukaszewski40%2 of 5
AwaySulkowskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukaszewski5Sulkowski1n = 6Lukaszewski took 5 of 6
S2Lukaszewski0Sulkowski6n = 6Sulkowski took 6 of 6
S3Lukaszewski3Sulkowski3n = 6split evenly
S4Lukaszewski0Sulkowski5n = 5Sulkowski took 5 of 5
S5Lukaszewski2Sulkowski1n = 3Lukaszewski took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricLukaszewskiSulkowskiL − SBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match38.044.0−6.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukaszewskiSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime925 / 2031 vs 535 / 121245.5%44.1%925 / 2031 vs 535 / 1212Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiLukaszewski 3.35/Sulkowski 1.27
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.5%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 4 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski—5770B. Sulkowski—1111113
WSep 3 · 07:40M. Lukaszewski—115155113B. Sulkowski—711131152
LAug 21 · 03:50M. Lukaszewski—117991B. Sulkowski—91111113
WJun 11 · 11:25M. Lukaszewski—117116113B. Sulkowski—81181162
LJun 11 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski—124881B. Sulkowski—101111113
LJan 7 · 16:50M. Lukaszewski—119134112B. Sulkowski—9111111133
M. Lukaszewski10
LSep 4 · 13:55A. Myszewski1.28131111113M. Lukaszewski3.251113761LSep 4 · 13:05M. Misiak1.221111113M. Lukaszewski3.704840WSep 4 · 12:15M. Lukaszewski3.7581512113A. Lilien1.2211131081WSep 4 · 10:35M. Lukaszewski2.55811911113W. Gronowski1.4311911772LSep 4 · 09:50M. Minda1.23111111123M. Lukaszewski3.558134101WSep 4 · 08:35A. Myszewski1.411111111192M. Lukaszewski2.60213713113LSep 4 · 06:05M. Misiak1.2511119113M. Lukaszewski3.45771121LSep 4 · 04:55W. Gronowski1.3611117113M. Lukaszewski2.80281171LSep 4 · 03:25K. Klocek1.651311113M. Lukaszewski2.0511810WSep 3 · 07:40M. Lukaszewski2.95115155113B. Sulkowski1.35711131152
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 7 · 24:35A. Linek1.97136681B. Sulkowski1.71111111113WSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113LSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:30A. Myszewski2.3711711113B. Sulkowski1.51511451WSep 6 · 19:40J. Michalczyk2.21811981B. Sulkowski1.5711211113WSep 6 · 18:55M. Trela2.239711121B. Sulkowski1.5611112143WSep 6 · 18:10B. Sulkowski1.60111178113A. Myszewski2.1036111142LSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:50A. Wos1.421511113113B. Sulkowski2.6017761162LSep 3 · 07:40M. Lukaszewski2.95115155113B. Sulkowski1.35711131152
Upcoming Matches
M. Lukaszewski
Nothing scheduled
B. Sulkowski
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