TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13069918
Played Sep 3Finished
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Home
2.95
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1175111513511115
Bartosz Sulkowski
Away
1.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
1175111513511115
H2H Mikolaj Lukaszewski 1–3 Bartosz Sulkowski Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (69%)
Sulkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Sulkowski
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukaszewski 1250 vs Sulkowski 1399
Sulkowski
Wrong
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukaszewski 80% vs Sulkowski 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukaszewski 60% vs Sulkowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukaszewski +4 · Sulkowski +1
Lukaszewski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukaszewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukaszewski 2.95 / Sulkowski 1.35
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Sulkowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13069918
Lukaszewski2.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 276 of 673
Down 0–1, comes back14% 54 of 375
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 197
Sulkowski1.35
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 203 of 349
Up 2–0, closes it98% 92 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it82% 148 of 180
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeLukaszewski1wins
AwaySulkowski3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderSulkowski leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukaszewski25%1 of 4
AwaySulkowskin = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukaszewski4Sulkowski0n = 4Lukaszewski took 4 of 4
S2Lukaszewski0Sulkowski4n = 4Sulkowski took 4 of 4
S3Lukaszewski2Sulkowski2n = 4split evenly
S4Lukaszewski0Sulkowski4n = 4Sulkowski took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricLukaszewskiSulkowskiL − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match40.546.0−5.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukaszewskiSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime927 / 2046 vs 525 / 119745.3%43.9%927 / 2046 vs 525 / 1197Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiLukaszewski 2.95/Sulkowski 1.35
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.4%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lukaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 21 · 03:50M. Lukaszewski—117991B. Sulkowski—91111113
WJun 11 · 11:25M. Lukaszewski—117116113B. Sulkowski—81181162
LJun 11 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski—124881B. Sulkowski—101111113
LJan 7 · 16:50M. Lukaszewski—119134112B. Sulkowski—9111111133
M. Lukaszewski10
LSep 4 · 13:55A. Myszewski1.28131111113M. Lukaszewski3.251113761LSep 4 · 13:05M. Misiak1.221111113M. Lukaszewski3.704840WSep 4 · 12:15M. Lukaszewski3.7581512113A. Lilien1.2211131081WSep 4 · 10:35M. Lukaszewski2.55811911113W. Gronowski1.4311911772LSep 4 · 09:50M. Minda1.23111111123M. Lukaszewski3.558134101WSep 4 · 08:35A. Myszewski1.411111111192M. Lukaszewski2.60213713113LSep 4 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski3.355770B. Sulkowski1.271111113LSep 4 · 06:05M. Misiak1.2511119113M. Lukaszewski3.45771121LSep 4 · 04:55W. Gronowski1.3611117113M. Lukaszewski2.80281171LSep 4 · 03:25K. Klocek1.651311113M. Lukaszewski2.0511810
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 7 · 24:35A. Linek1.97136681B. Sulkowski1.71111111113WSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113LSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:30A. Myszewski2.3711711113B. Sulkowski1.51511451WSep 6 · 19:40J. Michalczyk2.21811981B. Sulkowski1.5711211113WSep 6 · 18:55M. Trela2.239711121B. Sulkowski1.5611112143WSep 6 · 18:10B. Sulkowski1.60111178113A. Myszewski2.1036111142LSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:50A. Wos1.421511113113B. Sulkowski2.6017761162WSep 4 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski3.355770B. Sulkowski1.271111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Lukaszewski
Nothing scheduled
B. Sulkowski
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